Sword in the Cake

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 11:00 AM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
2 LEE Ian 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
3 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 NAZARIO Dominic 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
5 HAW Keith F. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
6 OWENS Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
7 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
8 HAN Katherine 100% 96% 63% 21% 4% < 1% -
9 BASS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
10 BONE Porter 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
11 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
12 COLLINS Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
13 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
14 COHEN Ava 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
15 KNIBBE Nathan 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
16 TATE Liam 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
17 EDWARDS Connor 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
18 TATE Linus 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
19 BASS Evan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
20 SOMERFORD Alex 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
21 MICK Gabriel 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
22 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3% -
23 ANGIER Aleister 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
24 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Isla 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
25 GIBSON Ammon 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
26 DESAI Kanushi 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
27 JACOBS Matthew 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
28 GINTHER Analiese 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
29 RAPELJE Peyton 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
30 MALONE Corey 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% -
31 HANNA Ihab (Hap) M. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
32 RYAN Liam 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
33 MCCUBBIN-GREEN Rori 100% 92% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
34 GAMACHE Elle 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.