The Battle of the Bay Div1A ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FUNG Emma - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 DO Leila - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
3 CASTANEDA Keira - 1% 11% 34% 42% 11%
3 PENG Serena - - 4% 18% 38% 34% 7%
5 SEAL Julie T. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
6 BOLES Amanda X. - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
7 LUH Mia P. 3% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
8 SWANSON Alexa - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
9 ZHENG Zoe - 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
10 ZHANG Eunice - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
10 PATTERSON Natalia 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
12 CUI Alivia - 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% -
13 WANG Celine S. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
14 ZHANG Ivy 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
15 FRANK Lauren 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 1%
16 XIE Su - 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
17 BHATT Morgane - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
18 KANDL-ZHANG Lea 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
19 GUAN Adeline - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
20 TIKHONOVA Sofia 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
21 EDWARDS Darby - 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
22 SEAL Cameron I. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
23 MCKAY Teresa 5% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
24 CHOI Sophie 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
25 SEN Arjen 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
26 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 63% 31% 5% - - -
27 KULKARNI myra 91% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.