The Battle of the Bay Div1A ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 9:00 AM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 DO Leila 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
3 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 11%
3 PENG Serena 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
5 SEAL Julie T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
7 LUH Mia P. 100% 97% 74% 33% 6% -
8 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
9 ZHENG Zoe 100% 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
10 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
10 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
12 CUI Alivia 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
13 WANG Celine S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
14 ZHANG Ivy 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
15 FRANK Lauren 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
16 XIE Su 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
17 BHATT Morgane 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
18 KANDL-ZHANG Lea 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
19 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
20 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
21 EDWARDS Darby 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
22 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
23 MCKAY Teresa 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
24 CHOI Sophie 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
25 SEN Arjen 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
26 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 37% 6% - - -
27 KULKARNI myra 100% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.