The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 9:00 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODLEY Colin - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
2 DIMMETT David C. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 PETERS Nathan M. - - - 1% 10% 43% 46%
5 O'HARA Keegan J. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
6 BERNARD Jack B. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
7 STEPHENS Corbin - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 4%
8 BRENNAN Quinlan - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
9 SAKO Ayrton J. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
10 COUGHLIN Nolan E. - - 1% 6% 27% 47% 20%
11 WATSON Raymond - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
12 GRESHAM Rebekah L. - - 5% 26% 43% 22% 3%
13 ZHANG Lucas 1% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
14 NORWOOD Malik - 1% 8% 27% 39% 23% 2%
15 LE TAN - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 5%
16 BAGHA Armin - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
17 MILLER Luke - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7% -
18 SCHAPIRO Jacob - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
19 ZOOK Evan D. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
20 DEMAREE Adam - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
21 ZALEWSKI David - - 3% 15% 37% 37% 7%
22 LAM Bill - 5% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
23 GRESHAM Sarah L. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
24 ANDERSON Derek M. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
25 WALLACE George - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
26 SAAL Anna 18% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
27 WALLACE James - 4% 17% 36% 32% 10% 1%
28 TANG Justin 6% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
29 WEIKEL Joel 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
30 WHITE Myles - 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
31 MONTESI Eric - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
32 CAMPBELL Paul 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
33 KELLOFF Michael 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% - -
34 HERMES Henry - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
35 SCHICKEL Juliana 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
36 VESSELS Susan L. 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
37 BARTLETT Lauren 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
38 HAN Sam - 1% 9% 33% 40% 16% 1%
39 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2% -
40 SINGH Jawand 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
41 BLUM Oliver 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
42 EVANS Allen L. - 1% 9% 32% 42% 14% 1%
43 FEAGIN Patrick 2% 16% 42% 31% 9% 1% -
44 SOUTHWORTH Connor 10% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
45 KEIM Spencer 10% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
46 VESSELS Aaron 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
47 MOORE Mary 16% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
48 DIX Philip-Alexander 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
49 BADLANI Neel 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
50 SCHIANO Sofia 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
51 SEATON Jake 16% 49% 29% 6% - - -
52 LUNDEN Espen 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
53 HAYES Zackery 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
54 OWENS Osbourne D. 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -
55 HAUSER Samuel 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
56 BARRETT John 65% 30% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.