The Virginia Tech Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 9:00 AM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
2 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
3 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46%
5 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
6 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
7 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
8 BRENNAN Quinlan 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
9 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
10 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
11 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
12 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3%
13 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2% -
14 NORWOOD Malik 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 2%
15 LE TAN 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 5%
16 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
17 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% -
18 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
19 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
20 DEMAREE Adam 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
21 ZALEWSKI David 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
22 LAM Bill 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
23 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
24 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
25 WALLACE George 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
26 SAAL Anna 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
27 WALLACE James 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
28 TANG Justin 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
29 WEIKEL Joel 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
30 WHITE Myles 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
31 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
32 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
33 KELLOFF Michael 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% - -
34 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
35 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 96% 73% 36% 11% 2% -
36 VESSELS Susan L. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
37 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
38 HAN Sam 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 1%
39 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 99% 86% 54% 17% 2% -
40 SINGH Jawand 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
41 BLUM Oliver 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
42 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15% 1%
43 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 98% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
44 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
45 KEIM Spencer 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
46 VESSELS Aaron 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
47 MOORE Mary 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
48 DIX Philip-Alexander 100% 88% 53% 18% 4% - -
49 BADLANI Neel 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
50 SCHIANO Sofia 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
51 SEATON Jake 100% 84% 35% 6% - - -
52 LUNDEN Espen 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
53 HAYES Zackery 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
54 OWENS Osbourne D. 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
55 HAUSER Samuel 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
56 BARRETT John 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.