The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIGMON Will M. - - - 6% 34% 59%
2 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 22%
3 HINDS David E. - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
3 CLARK Robert - 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
5 KASPER Lucia 2% 21% 41% 28% 7% 1% < 1%
6 HAYES Nathan P. - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
7 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
8 VERGARA Jaden Reese 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
9 FERGUSON Sam C. - 8% 39% 40% 11% 1%
10 CONANT Aidan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
11 RYAN Sean 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
12 MITCHELL Christopher 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
13 SMITH Finnley 1% 11% 39% 39% 10% 1%
14 PISTONE Leah 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
15 BOLTON Max - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
16 FUNK Ethan 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
17 DEVINNEY Dale - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
18 IVATURI Sivakrishna - 1% 6% 29% 51% 13%
19 POOLE Katherine 46% 41% 11% 1% - -
20 BREZNY Peter 3% 19% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
21 TANG Justin - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
22 PANDYA Parth 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
23 THU John - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
24 ROBBINS Maria 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
25 FISHER Edward 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
26 GIBSON Karino 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
27 MEARS Caleb 2% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1%
28 SAE-TUNG Kevin 11% 51% 31% 7% 1% -
29 HORIUCHI Chie 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
30 SKORDAS Lexie 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
31 STEFFENSEN Lily 44% 42% 13% 1% - - -
32 INGLE Kate < 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
33 WILLIAMS Morgan 66% 30% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.