The Virginia Tech Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 1:00 PM

VT RecSports Field House - Blacksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIGMON Will M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
2 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
3 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 CLARK Robert 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% -
5 KASPER Lucia 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1% < 1%
6 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
7 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
8 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
9 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 91% 53% 12% 1%
10 CONANT Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
11 RYAN Sean 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
12 MITCHELL Christopher 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
13 SMITH Finnley 100% 99% 89% 49% 10% 1%
14 PISTONE Leah 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
15 BOLTON Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
16 FUNK Ethan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
17 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
18 IVATURI Sivakrishna 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 13%
19 POOLE Katherine 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
20 BREZNY Peter 100% 97% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
21 TANG Justin 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
22 PANDYA Parth 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
23 THU John 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
24 ROBBINS Maria 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
25 FISHER Edward 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
26 GIBSON Karino 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
27 MEARS Caleb 100% 98% 72% 31% 6% 1%
28 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 89% 38% 7% 1% -
29 HORIUCHI Chie 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
30 SKORDAS Lexie 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
31 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
32 INGLE Kate 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
33 WILLIAMS Morgan 100% 34% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.