Event Results
Windy City Fencing Open EpeeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KARNAS Karol | V V D V V | V V V V | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 2 | NIKOLOV Peter | V D V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | MCKEEVER Luca | D D D V D V | V V V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 3 | GINZBURG Adam | V V D D V | V V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 5 | TIKHOMIROV Theodore | V V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 6 | MITEV Alexander | V D V V D V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 7 | SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN | D D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | VUILLEMIN Gregoire | D D V D V | V V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 9 | SPINA Joseph B. | V V D V V V | D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 10 | BECKMAN Ana | V V V V V D | D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 11 | ZIEGLER John | V D D V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 12 | WILLIAMS Logan | D D V V V V | V D | 1.1 | 4 | +2.9 |
| 13 | ELTERMAN Lev | D V V V D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 14 | DHAL Leon | D V D D V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 15 | PETROVICH Alexandar | D V V D D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 16 | CANCELO Jose | D V D D D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 17 | VAUGHAN Paul | V V D D V V | D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 18 | DURHAM Porter | V D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 19 | CONKLIN Jim | V V D D D | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 20 | MCDOWELL Will | V D D D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 21 | BORISENKO Samuel | V D D D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 22 | TANG Ellen | D V V D D D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 23 | BLASE John | D D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 24 | MILLER Lance W. | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 25 | ZHAO Alina | V D D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 25 | TANG Elaine | D D V D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |