SoCal Scholastic Fencing League Individual Epee/Saber #2

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 8:30 AM

Brentwood High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
2 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 DENISON Declan 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% < 1%
3 KIM Tristan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
5 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
6 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
7 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 99% 86% 52% 14% 1%
8 LEWIS Parker 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
9 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
10 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
11 SUH Victor 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
12 THORNTON Maximilian 100% 100% 93% 57% 14%
13 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 84% 42% 9% 1%
14 DAO Thomas 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
15 O'BRIEN Beckett 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
16 PEÑA Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
17 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
18 WARD Edward 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 34%
19 PAINTER Noah 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
20 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 98% 85% 50% 12% 1%
21 GAINSLEY Isaac 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 3%
22 STAFFORD Michael 100% 100% 98% 72% 24%
23 BYRNE Quinlan 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
24 TAKU Mike 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
25 XU Wangzitai 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
26 PALMER Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
27 IYER Pranav 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 2%
28 O'GARA Theodore 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 4%
29 GODINA Jayden 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
30 BOTYANSZKI Balint 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
31 YANAI Charlie 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
32 WELLS William 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
33 GUILLERMO Dante 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
34 CHEN David 100% 100% 97% 75% 28%
35 LIBATIQUE Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
36 COREAS Aaron 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
37 PROCTER Griffin 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
38 DILORENZO Peter 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
39 ZAPATA Matthew 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% -
40 HUNTINGTON Charles 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
41 CLARKE Luca 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1%
42 LARI Matthew 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
43 CAMP Ryder 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
44 CHEN Alexander 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 8%
45 MURPHY Parker 100% 96% 72% 31% 5% -
46 GARCIA Miguel 100% 90% 50% 12% 1% -
47 SULLIVAN SALVADOR Antonio 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
48 KAMRAS Ryan 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
49 SERAPIO Jose 100% 100% 93% 58% 15%
50 PALAPA Yair 100% 76% 33% 7% 1%
51 COONEY LEBANO Gideon 100% 52% 8% - -
52 CALDWELL Sean 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
53 RAWLINSON Cameron 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
54 BISSADA Matthew 100% 88% 51% 15% 1%
55 DONOHUE Angus 100% 68% 14% 1% -
56 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
57 MONTERROSA Aiscen 100% 71% 28% 5% -
58 ROMANA Colin 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
59 JONES Rodney 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% -
60 MCGAHA-SCHLETTER Dashiell 100% 68% 19% 2% - -
61 SANDOVAL-CUDE Maxwell 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
62 KOENIG Caleb 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
62 JOHNSON Xolani 100% 96% 73% 30% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.