October NAC

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, October 12, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
2 SCHMITT Trenton R. 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
3 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
3 CHEN Alan 4% 22% 39% 28% 7% 1%
5 JOHNSON Andrew J. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
6 KIM Stephen E. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
7 CHAN Zachary D. - 2% 16% 40% 32% 9% 1%
8 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
9 PARK Donghwan - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
10 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 5% 26% 40% 24% 4%
11 NADILE Henry V. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
12 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - 2% 15% 39% 36% 9%
13 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 1% 8% 32% 43% 17%
14 LIM Ryan Y. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
15 MOON Sean H. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
16 BOLTON Braydon A. 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
17 DEMAREST Iain - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
18 ZHOU Matthew R. - 3% 19% 42% 28% 7% 1%
19 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil - 3% 14% 33% 35% 13% 1%
20 KIM Sean G. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
21 BACON Elias (Eli) H. - - 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
22 ERACHSHAW Taras P. - - - 1% 7% 36% 57%
23 MIKA Casper - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
24 MERCHANT Marcel J. - 1% 10% 31% 41% 15% 1%
25 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
25 JEFFORDS Alexander 4% 24% 47% 21% 4% - -
27 RIVERA Inigo Franco - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
28 CHANG Eliot A. 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
29 KUSHKOV Simon O. 1% 11% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
30 LEE Kyle - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
31 LIN John A. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
32 MCFADDEN Shae Q. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
33 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
34 TONG Qilin 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
35 ATTIG Will T. - 3% 14% 34% 35% 12% 1%
36 BAILEY Asher - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
36 VAULES Charles W. - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 4%
38 LAI Adam J. - 2% 10% 24% 33% 23% 7%
39 GREENWOOD Thomas R. - 5% 30% 42% 20% 3%
40 DENNER Lysander H. - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
41 LIMB Matthew G. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
42 DODRILL Grant - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
42 KANG Brandon M. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
44 HARLEY Colby A. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
45 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 5% 23% 38% 26% 6% 1%
46 WOOD Elden S. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
47 DINU Nicholas D. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
48 SMITH David C. - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
49 RAI Avin - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 8%
50 OWENS William 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
51 HAMMER Peter A. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
52 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
53 SHEPANEK Noah M. 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
54 LIANG Connor 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
55 SOHN Kevin J. 8% 62% 27% 3% - -
56 AURAY Phileas 2% 25% 43% 25% 5% -
57 HOLMES Aiden G. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
58 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
59 NOBLE Daniel 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
60 PRIEST Leighton K. 7% 30% 38% 21% 5% - -
61 CHANG Howard - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
62 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
63 SHI Andrew - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
64 WUN William 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
65 DENNER Maximilian P. - - 1% 7% 26% 45% 21%
66 CHENNURU Nischal - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
67 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
68 STONE Jack V. 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
69 KIM Benjamin H. 3% 24% 41% 25% 6% -
70 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
71 LINSKY Matthew 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
72 MAHONEY Colin M. 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
73 DESAI Drewv D. 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
74 VASILYEV Nikita K. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
75 D'ORAZIO Joseph - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
76 LEFEVRE Colin B. 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
77 BROWNE JR Rolston D. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
78 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
79 HU William 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% -
80 BARNETT Peter 1% 6% 23% 40% 27% 3%
81 GILMORE Thomas W. - 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
82 GINIS Nathan 1% 11% 36% 37% 14% 1%
83 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 4% 21% 40% 30% 6%
84 HAMMERSTROM Jared - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
85 DANNULL Lukas J. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
86 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
87 YOUNG Nash 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
88 EPSTEIN Henry N. 47% 38% 13% 2% - - -
89 MARSEE James 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
90 MYERS Kaleb S. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
91 YATES Colum C. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
92 HUSSAIN Faaris Zulfiqar - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
93 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
94 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
95 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
96 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 2% 13% 31% 36% 16% 2%
96 LASORSA Matthew 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
98 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
99 MURZYN III CJ 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
100 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 11% 1%
101 CZAHA Balint - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
102 TREJO Oliver 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
103 FLORES Peter D. 12% 46% 33% 9% 1% -
104 LO Joshua H. 16% 38% 33% 12% 1% -
105 HEATHCOCK Colin 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
106 MILLER Levi H. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
107 LIN William 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
108 ROPER Evan C. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
109 WANG Jonathan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
110 VAN DER MERWE Fabian 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
111 KEEFE Duncan 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
112 LUO ZIRUI 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
113 PEDERSEN Leif 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
114 TONG ZACHARY 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
115 HUANG Ian 21% 44% 27% 8% 1% - -
116 DU Gavin J. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
117 PIHLSTROM Richie 21% 44% 28% 6% 1% - -
118 ZHOU Miles 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
119 ESCUETA Tony V. 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
119 LI Joshua L. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
121 HINGNEKAR Aniket 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
121 LUEBBE Macklan C 36% 49% 14% 1% - -
123 HOEY-WASOW Henry 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
123 GAFFNEY John M. 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
125 GUZZO Vito 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
126 KLAR Isaac A. 1% 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% -
127 KOKKIN Jack S. 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
128 NARANJO David E. 22% 50% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.