Cupid's Arrow 2024

Men's Épée

Saturday, February 10, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rochester Regional Sports Center - Rochester, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3
1 ZHENG Jerry 5% 59% 35%
2 SIEDOW William 3% 26% 51% 20%
3 ZHENG Andy 42% 58%
4 SHOEMAKER Oliver 14% 41% 36% 9%
5 ROWLAND Marsden - 7% 40% 53%
6 VEZMAR Evan 58% 42%
7 TAHA Raymond 1% 13% 43% 43%
8 NGUYEN Maik 6% 30% 44% 20%
9 MORRIS Samuel Missing ID
10 SMITH Bram 78% 20% 1%
11 KARI Ryan 5% 42% 52%
12 MEEK Joe Missing ID
13 SAWYER David Missing ID
14 NOONEY Tatum 22% 44% 29% 6%
15 GARCÍA Guillermo Missing ID
16 SMITH Charles Missing ID
17 WATTIER Samuel 33% 46% 19% 2%
18 MOHAMED Samater Missing ID
19 MINGO Joshua Missing ID
20 MURAD Humza Missing ID
21 HALULA Frank 13% 41% 37% 9%
22 TUCKER Brady Missing ID
23 WILLER Ryan 3% 26% 52% 19%
24 PHAM Ryan Missing ID
25 WILSON Gavin 69% 28% 3% -
26 MCGUIRE Theodore 7% 57% 32% 4%
27 ELDRIDGE Hudson Missing ID
28 MOCOL Jacob Missing ID
29 JOHNSEN Wolf 20% 47% 30% 3%
30 SHANKS Michael Missing ID
31 COLEY Liam Missing ID
32 HELLAND Sam Missing ID
33 LARSON Peter Missing ID
34 HAUGEN Nicholas Missing ID
35 STENZEL Henry Missing ID

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.