SPA Randolph Campus - Saint Paul, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCKINLEY Luke | V V V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 2 | TAN Xinlai | V V | V V V V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 3 | NAIDL Josiah | V V | V V V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 4 | BERSCHEID Arthur | V V V | V V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 5 | CROOM Tucker | V V | V V V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 6 | LOCKWOOD Jacob | V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 7 | BREWNER Ethan | V V V | V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 8 | PHONPRASANSACK Grayson | V D V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 9 | GIEBLER Lucas | V V V | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 10 | RUBY Asher | V V V | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 11 | HOWLAND Jonas | D V V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 12 | WAKEHAM Timothy | V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 13 | JARCHO Beckett | V V V V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 14 | GARSKE James | V V V D | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 15 | GLOVER George | V V V D | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 16 | LINEBERRY Caden | D D | V V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 17 | HOKANSON Braddock | V V | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 18 | ZEITLER Blake | V V V V V | D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 19 | FADLIA Murad | V V D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 20 | ZINSER James | V D | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 22 | ZHANG Alexander | D V V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 23 | MENASCO Juliun | D V | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 24 | WAKEHAM Paul | D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 25 | TOEWS Jackson | D V | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 26 | KWAN Victor | V D D V | V D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 27 | MARTIN Wesley | D V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 28 | CAPERS Hunter | V D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 29 | IBARRA Alejandro | D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 30 | HASHMI Mushaf | D D D V | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 31 | OSTFIELD Mati | D D V V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 32 | FERRARA Asher | V D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 33 | GORDON Jack | V V D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 34 | AHNEMANN Leif | V D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 36 | TORTORELLO Bear | D V | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 38 | WOJTALEWICZ Aiden | D D V V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 39 | TRAN Allex | V D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 40 | NEELIMANDHU Sahil | D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 41 | WOODS Jarek | D D V D V | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 43 | BASTODKAR Ved | D D V | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 44 | HUANG Kai | D V D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 46 | FEEHAN Conor | D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 47 | BOMGARDNER Ben | D D V D | 1.0 | 1 | - | |
| 48 | FOSTERVOLD Castiel | V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 50 | YATES Graeme | V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 54 | WEISS Quintin | V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 58 | CRUZ Cole | V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 60 | POLYZOIS Alkis | D D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 61 | CUNEO Luca | V D D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 65 | CHRISTOPHER Louis | D D D D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 | |
| 68 | ANDERSON Norse | D D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 69 | BLUMHARDT Evan | D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 70 | BIEL Liev | D D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 | |
| 75 | BELL Andrew | D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 87 | BENNETT Elijah | D D D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 | |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.