SPA Randolph Campus - Saint Paul, MN, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZHENG Andy | V | V V V | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 2 | ZHENG Jerry | V V | V V V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 3 | VEZMAR Evan | V | V V V D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 4 | SIEDOW William | V V V | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 5 | TAHA Raymond | V V V | V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 6 | MISHRA Milan | V V V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 7 | SHOEMAKER Oliver | V V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 8 | ROWLAND Marsden | D | V D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 9 | NGUYEN Maik | V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 10 | KARI Ryan | D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 11 | GARCÍA Guillermo Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 12 | SMITH Charles | V V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 13 | SAWYER David Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 14 | BRAATEN Erik | V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 15 | COLEY Liam Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 16 | SMITH Bram | D V D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 17 | HALULA Frank | V D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 18 | MINGO Joshua Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 19 | WAKAI Ryoga Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 20 | NOONEY Tatum | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 | |
| 21 | MEEK Joe Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 22 | DOUGHTY Nathaniel | V D D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 | |
| 23 | MORRIS Samuel Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 24 | WOLF Lukas Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 25 | MOCOL Jacob Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 26 | ELDRIDGE Hudson Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 27 | PHAM Ryan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 28 | TUCKER Brady Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 29 | MURAD Humza Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 30 | WILLER Ryan | D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 31 | LEE Vincent | D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 32 | MINNICH Oliver | D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 33 | WESTEMEIER Huxley Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 34 | STENZEL Henry Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 35 | WILSON Gavin | D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 36 | JOHNSEN Wolf | D D D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 | |
| 37 | HELLAND Sam Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 38 | GAO Jack Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 39 | SHANKS Michael Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 40 | LARSON Peter Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 41 | HAUGEN Nicholas Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 41 | FOSTER Finnegan | D D D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 | |
| 43 | SMITH Connor Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.