W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
3 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
3 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
5 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
6 POLONI Giovanni 100% 100% 96% 67% 21% 2%
7 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
8 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
9 LAPALLO Adam C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
10 GIBSON Russell L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40% 4%
11 PEZZAT Daniel S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
12 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
13 CRANE William 100% 98% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
14 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 98% 57% 13% 1%
15 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
16 FADL Omar 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
17 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
18 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
19 THAN Duc 100% 92% 51% 12% 1% - -
20 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
21 MITCHELL Christopher 100% 99% 78% 31% 6% - -
22 CONANT Aidan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 3% -
23 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 22% 3%
24 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
25 ZIMSKY James 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
26 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
27 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
28 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
29 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
30 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 73% 22% 3% - - -
31 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
32 JACKSON Evan 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
33 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
34 GIBSON Karino 100% 19% 1% - - -
35 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
36 KASPER Lucia 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
37 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% - -
38 LIU Angela 100% 88% 15% 1% - -
39 FIGLOZZI Cordelia 100% 40% 4% - - - -
40 YE Jessica 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
41 POOLE Katherine 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.