W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTESI Eric - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
2 WATSON Raymond - - 1% 5% 23% 46% 26%
3 YI Nathan - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 1%
3 BUI Ryan 13% 35% 35% 15% 2% < 1% -
5 WALLACE George - - 2% 12% 29% 38% 19%
6 SHOWALTER Zachary - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
7 BARTLETT Lauren - 1% 5% 22% 40% 26% 6%
8 YAP Nathan - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
9 BLUM Oliver - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
10 HERMES Henry - - 1% 11% 38% 40% 10%
11 KEIM Spencer 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
12 ANDERSON Dean - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
13 HINDS David E. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
14 FEAGIN Patrick - 1% 11% 35% 38% 14% 1%
15 KELLOFF Michael - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
16 JAROSZ Joshua - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
17 BADLANI Neel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
18 SOUTHWORTH Connor - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
19 LANDERS Sarah 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
20 MARKOWITZ Sam 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
21 PANE Patrick 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
22 BLANKENSHIP Benjamin T. 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
23 CARCATERRA Theodore 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
24 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
25 WALLS Annie 1% 37% 43% 17% 2% - -
26 ROUADY Ryan 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
27 KRONAUGE Andersen 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
28 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
29 WEIDMAN Jess 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
30 TANG Justin - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
31 LUNDEN Espen 3% 23% 50% 21% 3% - -
32 MOORE Mary 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
33 BARBER Christopher 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
34 IVATURI Sivakrishna - 5% 25% 42% 24% 4% -
34 SCHICKEL Juliana 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
36 FISH Bradley - < 1% 3% 16% 38% 36% 6%
37 LAWLESS Elizabeth 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
38 MCGUIRE Meghan 22% 47% 26% 5% - - -
39 DIX Philip-Alexander 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
40 HAINES Katherine 8% 26% 35% 22% 8% 1% -
41 RICHARDSON Katie R. 2% 19% 43% 28% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.