W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
2 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
3 YI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 1%
3 BUI Ryan 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% < 1% -
5 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
6 SHOWALTER Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30%
7 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 6%
8 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
9 BLUM Oliver 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
10 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 10%
11 KEIM Spencer 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
12 ANDERSON Dean 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
13 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
14 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
15 KELLOFF Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
16 JAROSZ Joshua 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
17 BADLANI Neel 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
18 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
19 LANDERS Sarah 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
20 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
21 PANE Patrick 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
22 BLANKENSHIP Benjamin T. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
23 CARCATERRA Theodore 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
24 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
25 WALLS Annie 100% 99% 62% 19% 3% - -
26 ROUADY Ryan 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
27 KRONAUGE Andersen 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
28 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
29 WEIDMAN Jess 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1%
30 TANG Justin 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
31 LUNDEN Espen 100% 97% 74% 24% 3% - -
32 MOORE Mary 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
33 BARBER Christopher 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
34 IVATURI Sivakrishna 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4% -
34 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
36 FISH Bradley 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
37 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
38 MCGUIRE Meghan 100% 78% 32% 5% - - -
39 DIX Philip-Alexander 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
40 HAINES Katherine 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
41 RICHARDSON Katie R. 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.