W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
3 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
3 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 26%
5 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 10%
6 BEATY Chad A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
7 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
8 LIN Felix 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 4%
9 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
10 FORT David 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
11 LYON Drew 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38% -
12 XU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 21% 1%
13 FRUTH Evan 100% 97% 67% 20% 2% -
14 SUN Ziyao 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
15 BIALIK Noah 100% 96% 67% 26% 4% -
16 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1%
17 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
18 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 98% 58% 16% 2% -
19 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
20 PARCELL Colby 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1% -
21 BENSON Jacob 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
22 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
23 DELALIO Peter 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
24 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
25 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35%
26 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 2%
27 FEIRA Justin 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
28 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 66% 21% 3% -
29 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
30 CASSIDY Connor J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 6%
31 STAM August M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
32 BARROSO Isabela 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
33 DREHER Matthew 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2% -
34 BENE Andrew 100% 99% 84% 31% 5% - -
35 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 31% 3%
36 NI Hao 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% - -
37 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
38 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
39 SU Ji 100% 96% 68% 26% 4% -
40 WALKER Terra 100% 98% 78% 40% 10% 1%
41 CAYABAN Jessica 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% - -
42 WALLACE Leo 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
43 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
44 PEREGOY George 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
45 KENNEDY Aidan 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
45 PHAM Matthew 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% -
47 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
48 BARR Corinne 100% 65% 6% - - - -
49 WANG Erica 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1% -
50 OTT William 100% 67% 18% 2% - -
51 LEE Angela 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
52 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 27% 3% - - -
53 WILFRET Katerina 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
54 ROCHARDSON Payten 100% 95% 67% 26% 4% -
55 LESTYAN Cat 100% 40% 6% - - -
56 BLANKENSHIP Benjamin T. 100% 74% 30% 5% - - -
56 JIN Adam 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% - -
58 URIBE David 100% 59% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.