W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 25, 2024 at 9:00 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAGHA Armin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
2 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 33%
3 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
3 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
5 DIMMETT David C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
6 OTT James (Jimmy) P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
7 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 41%
8 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
9 WOODLEY Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
10 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
11 MONTESI Eric 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
12 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
13 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 20%
14 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
15 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
16 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 1%
17 LAM Bill 100% 97% 74% 26% 4% -
18 HURST Palmer 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
19 WALLACE George 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
20 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15% 1%
21 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 100% 87% 46% 12% 1% -
22 WHITE Myles 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 1%
23 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
24 MOLITERNI Matthew N. 100% 100% 98% 78% 26% 3%
25 KELLOFF Michael 100% 94% 60% 9% - -
26 SAAL Anna 100% 93% 46% 11% 1% -
27 YI Nathan 100% 95% 49% 12% 1% -
28 BUI Ryan 100% 82% 34% 5% - - -
29 ZOOK Evan D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
30 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
31 TANG Justin 100% 95% 67% 23% 3% - -
32 SINGH Jawand 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
33 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 87% 45% 9% - -
34 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 84% 40% 8% 1% - -
35 LUNDEN Espen 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
36 MOORE Mary 100% 35% 6% - - -
37 DIX Philip-Alexander 100% 40% 5% - - -
38 DICKENS Thomas 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
38 SCHICKEL Juliana 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.