W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 25, 2024 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 POLONI Giovanni 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
2 YU William 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 95% 65% 21% 2%
3 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
5 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
6 AZIZI Zahl 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
7 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
8 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 BOLTON Max 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
11 HARPER Wesley 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 22%
12 THAN Duc 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
13 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
14 ZIMSKY James 100% 99% 86% 49% 11%
15 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
16 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 99% 84% 42% 9% 1%
17 ALTON Abigail 100% 100% 93% 63% 16% 1%
18 MAHNKEN Thomas P. 100% 100% 98% 76% 31% 4%
19 KASPER Lucia 100% 96% 61% 20% 3% -
20 TANG Justin 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%
21 IVATURI Sivakrishna 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
22 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
23 LIN Janice 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
23 DEVINNEY Dale 100% 95% 58% 19% 3% -
25 TERPENNING Sarah 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
26 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
27 BAYLESS Varnum 100% 84% 44% 12% 1%
28 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3%
29 CONANT Aidan 100% 99% 90% 57% 18% 2%
30 HOPSON Ethan 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
31 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 69% 13% 1% - -
32 STEFFENSEN Lily 100% 40% 5% - - -
33 SNELL Angelina 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
34 SINGH Jawand 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
35 SINGH Meet 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
36 LAU-ALLEN Macy 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
37 CARLEY Aubrey 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
38 SAY Preston 100% 67% 22% 3% -
39 GIBSON Karino 100% 79% 27% 2% - -
40 MOORE Annette 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
41 ALLEN Lily 100% 31% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.