W&M Conomikes-Gutenburg Memorial Open

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 25, 2024 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
2 JACKSON Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
3 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 BENE Andrew 100% 99% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
5 BIALIK Noah 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
6 OTT William 100% 94% 55% 17% 2% - -
7 BARROSO Isabela 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
8 PARCELL Colby 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
9 TEEL Kevin C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
10 KIRCHMAIER Charlie 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
11 KENNEDY Aidan 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
12 MITCHELL Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
13 WALKER Terra 100% 99% 91% 57% 14% 1%
14 SU Ji 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
15 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 45% 8% 1% - -
16 WALLACE Leo 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
17 CAYABAN Jessica 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 12% 1%
18 STAM August M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 20%
19 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
20 DREHER Matthew 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
21 FEIRA Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
22 NI Hao 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
23 PHAM Matthew 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
24 WILFRET Katerina 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
25 URIBE David 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
26 FENG Brendan 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
27 CONANT Aidan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
28 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
29 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
30 ROCHARDSON Payten 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
31 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
32 FANG Darcy 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
33 LESTYAN Cat 100% 96% 65% 15% 1% - -
34 BARR Corinne 100% 21% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.