Event Results
Bay Cup at MFA: XE3, WE3, VWE3, XF3, WF3Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CUNNINGHAM Scott | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 2 | WOLINSKY Alex | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | BALDWIN Timothy M. | V V D D V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | RAMOS Angelo Rei | V D V D D | V V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 5 | LIM Charles Q. | V V V D V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 6 | HE Bu Wei O. | V V D V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 7 | DORMAN Patrick | V D D V D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 8 | PATTERSON Natalia | D D D V V | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 9 | LUONG Allen | D V V V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 10 | CRACRAFT John R. | D V V V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 11 | ARREDONDO Rafael | D V D V V | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 12 | FINNEY Lorenz | V D V D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 13 | CRACRAFT William J. | D D V V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 14 | FISCHER Sebastian | D V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 15 | LIN Richard | D D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 16 | MAC DULA Hannah | D D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 17 | MEDRANO Sue | V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 18 | LO Kevin P. | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |