Bay Cup at MFA: XE3, WE3, VWE3, XF3, WF3

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, December 29, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
2 DAVIS Neil 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
3 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
3 LOUIE Jason 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
5 MA Victor 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
6 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
7 BECK Brian C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
8 ZIEBART Jeremy J. 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
9 DOWD Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 33% 7%
10 GETSLA Christopher W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
11 MING Nathan 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% - -
12 HEPLER Sarah 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% - -
13 KUO Elvin 100% 100% 92% 66% 27% 4% -
14 LUCASEY Charles (Chuck) J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
15 JEFFERIES Jonathan J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
16 VIDOR Richard P. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
17 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 6% -
18 RIPKEN Reuben 100% 99% 93% 73% 43% 16% 3% -
19 LO Kevin P. 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% - -
20 GONZALES Sarah 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
21 BENNETT Peter 100% 33% 5% - - - -
22 LOUIE Sarah 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.