March NAC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANG Ellie - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 FAN Alexandria - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
3 LEOU Korina - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 SUNG Olivia - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
5 GAY Sasha - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
6 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
7 DHAR Rana - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
8 XU Elaine - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
9 LIN Elaine - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
10 GONZALEZ Veronika - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
11 CONG Anne - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 10%
12 MEYERSON Michelle - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
13 FOSS Persephone - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
14 SUNG Isabella - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
15 JIANG Evelyn - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
16 WANG Yixuan - - - - 2% 21% 76%
17 ZHANG Ashley - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
18 ZHU Elaine - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
19 KWON Ava - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
20 ZHU Avril - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
21 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 3% 16% 41% 38% 2%
22 TONG Laurie - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
23 WONG Natalie - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
24 CHOI Charlotte - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
25 LIU kai yin aria - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
26 FUNG Iris - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
27 REN Katherine - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
28 NIU Jessica - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
29 CASTELO Soleil - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
30 NEMORIN Rei - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
31 CHANG Annette - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
32 KIM Saeren - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
33 LIANG Claire - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
33 WANG JiaQi - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 6%
35 PARK Haylie - 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3%
36 YUEN Nicole - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
37 KU Alathea-Joy - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
38 MISHEV Lila - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
39 KAUL Tara - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
40 RAGHURAMAN Anishka - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 8%
41 YU Stella - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 2%
42 XIAÖ Cindy - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
42 YU Skylar - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
44 MAK Jayden 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
45 GONG Joy - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
46 WANG Tina - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
47 ZHANG Olivia 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% -
48 DOLEV Rony - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
49 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - 3% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
50 PARK Chloe 2% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
51 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
52 SENGUPTA Jia - 1% 7% 30% 44% 18%
53 LEE Kaitlin - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
54 YE Isabella - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
55 HEATH Isabella 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
56 CHOWDHERY Myra - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
57 LONG Jessie - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
58 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
59 HSIEH Lucia 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
60 CHERON Helene - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
61 HWANG Sophie - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
62 WANG Keira 4% 21% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
63 WU Daisy - 2% 17% 42% 31% 7%
64 PEREIRA Izumi 11% 47% 33% 8% 1% -
65 YAN Angela - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7% -
66 NGUYEN Summer - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 14%
67 WANG Emily 1% 19% 45% 27% 6% -
68 TA-ZHOU Sophia 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
69 HU Heidi - 3% 14% 31% 33% 15% 3%
70 LAUREYNS Ainsley 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
71 HU Ashley - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
72 DING Jolie 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
73 LONG Chloe - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
74 YANG Caroline - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
74 YU Elizabeth 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
76 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
77 WONG Charlize - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
78 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
78 KANIA Brigitte 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
80 CHENG Anna 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% - -
81 DUFF Caitlin 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
82 HALPERN Athena 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
83 GONG suri 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
83 SAGER Bianca 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
85 BRIMMER Bella 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
86 MORINAGA Mirai 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
87 SHI Maxine 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
88 KATZ Emma 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
89 LI Tiffany - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
90 POWERS Waverly 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
91 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
92 CHEN Cindy 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
93 NG Anson 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
94 CHANG Kaitlyn - 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
95 CHACKO Anne 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
96 KAZA Ananya 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
97 FERRIS Madeline 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
98 ZHANG Nikki 2% 11% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
99 WEI Levana 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
100 CORD Sophia 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
101 WANG April 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
102 MALUKI Nia 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
103 WANG MONA 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
104 CHEN Chloe 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
105 JOSHI Samika 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
106 CONG Catherine 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
107 DOSHI Anika 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
108 GAO Olivia 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
109 YAP Anna 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
110 QIU Abigail 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
111 LIQUARD Lea 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -
112 DUDNICK Caitlin 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
113 FAN Tina 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
114 CHIU Philippa 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
114 WHELAN Quinn 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
116 FAN Yutong 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
117 VARAH Alaia 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
118 BAO Amelia 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
119 CAI Joanna 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
120 LIU Isabel 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
121 KAZA Aditi 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
122 YANG Felicia 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
123 LI Bernadette 66% 30% 4% - - -
124 KARAVAS Lucy 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
124 BACKES Anastasia 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
124 LI Meredith 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
127 ESTEVES ZOE 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
128 SON Ellie 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
129 HILE Violet 21% 46% 26% 6% 1% - -
129 BRENNAN Annabelle 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
131 TABANCAY Ava 47% 38% 13% 2% - - -
132 ARVIND Heera 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.