March NAC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
3 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
5 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
7 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
8 XU Elaine 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 2%
9 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
10 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
11 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 10%
12 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
13 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
14 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
15 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
16 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
17 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
18 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
19 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
20 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
21 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 2%
22 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
23 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
24 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
25 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
26 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
27 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
28 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
29 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 9% 1%
30 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
31 CHANG Annette 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
32 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
33 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
33 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
35 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
36 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 21%
37 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
38 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 27% 4%
39 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
40 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
41 YU Stella 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
42 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
42 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
44 MAK Jayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
45 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
46 WANG Tina 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
47 ZHANG Olivia 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% -
48 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
49 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
50 PARK Chloe 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
51 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
52 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
53 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
54 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
55 HEATH Isabella 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
56 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
57 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
58 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
59 HSIEH Lucia 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
60 CHERON Helene 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
61 HWANG Sophie 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
62 WANG Keira 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
63 WU Daisy 100% 100% 98% 80% 38% 7%
64 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 89% 42% 8% 1% -
65 YAN Angela 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7% -
66 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
67 WANG Emily 100% 99% 79% 34% 7% -
68 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
69 HU Heidi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
70 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
71 HU Ashley 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
72 DING Jolie 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
73 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
74 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
74 YU Elizabeth 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
76 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
77 WONG Charlize 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
78 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
78 KANIA Brigitte 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
80 CHENG Anna 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
81 DUFF Caitlin 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
82 HALPERN Athena 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
83 GONG suri 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
83 SAGER Bianca 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
85 BRIMMER Bella 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% 1% -
86 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
87 SHI Maxine 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
88 KATZ Emma 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
89 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
90 POWERS Waverly 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
91 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
92 CHEN Cindy 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
93 NG Anson 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 10% 1%
94 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
95 CHACKO Anne 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
96 KAZA Ananya 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
97 FERRIS Madeline 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
98 ZHANG Nikki 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
99 WEI Levana 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
100 CORD Sophia 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
101 WANG April 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
102 MALUKI Nia 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
103 WANG MONA 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
104 CHEN Chloe 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
105 JOSHI Samika 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
106 CONG Catherine 100% 81% 42% 11% 2% - -
107 DOSHI Anika 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
108 GAO Olivia 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
109 YAP Anna 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
110 QIU Abigail 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
111 LIQUARD Lea 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
112 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
113 FAN Tina 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
114 CHIU Philippa 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
114 WHELAN Quinn 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
116 FAN Yutong 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
117 VARAH Alaia 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
118 BAO Amelia 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
119 CAI Joanna 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
120 LIU Isabel 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
121 KAZA Aditi 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
122 YANG Felicia 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
123 LI Bernadette 100% 34% 4% - - -
124 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
124 BACKES Anastasia 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
124 LI Meredith 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
127 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
128 SON Ellie 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
129 HILE Violet 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
129 BRENNAN Annabelle 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
131 TABANCAY Ava 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
132 ARVIND Heera 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.