14th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 3, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center: Atlanta, GA - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Brandon 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
2 RAVI Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
3 MARSHALL Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
5 LEE Aaron 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
6 KUCIA Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
7 FERRARA Milo 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
8 HUGHES Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
9 BERNSTEIN Stuart E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
10 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 8% 1%
10 JEONG Arisu 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 14% 1%
12 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
13 HWANG Aidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
14 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
15 PETE Landon 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1% -
16 LU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
17 PAYNE Gareth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
18 DAVIDENKO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
19 ZHOU alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
20 TURK Reggie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
21 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
22 PARK Andrew 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
23 KIM Sangone 100% 89% 53% 16% 3% - -
24 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
25 MUNAGAPATI Vishwa 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
26 WRIGHT Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
27 LEE Christopher 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
28 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
29 LIANG Jacob 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
30 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
31 RAMIREZ Michael 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
32 PAKULATH Nihal 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
33 LIU Elinda 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
34 ILENRE Roni 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
35 OTERO Ethan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
36 CORLEY Avery 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
37 REDDY Daksh 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
38 YANG Maximus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
39 SEATON Jake 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
40 KARRIEM Zainuddin 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
41 TAK Jemi 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
42 BASKIN Julia 100% 86% 43% 11% 2% - -
43 ATON Dave 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 8%
44 DEMAREE Adam 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
45 BONNER Cohen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 10%
46 BOLLE Elijah 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2% -
47 TUCKER Evan 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
48 PAVLINEC John (Jack) C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
49 LEE Winston 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
50 MCFARLAND John G. 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
51 OLSON Clayton M. 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
52 HARTIGAN Joe 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
53 CHOI Benjamin 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% -
54 ZIELINSKI Alexander E. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
55 FRAGER Soleil 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
56 DANDRIDGE Laila 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
57 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 37% 9%
58 ELEY Ellis 100% 96% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
59 DUNKLIN Devon 100% 100% 95% 78% 48% 19% 3%
60 JIANG Harry 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
61 DOUGLAS John 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
62 BARRETT John 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
63 HAYES Zackery 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
64 DAVIS Shanna 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
65 IYER Arjun 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
66 PIERCE Chandon 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
67 ANDERSON Pierson 100% 99% 69% 28% 7% 1% -
68 RIGSBEE Rachel 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
69 BELL Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
70 FRATTA Caterina 100% 99% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
71 MIHILL Margaret 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
72 ARMES Maggie 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
73 CHAVEZ Leontine 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
74 AGUILLON Alexis 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
75 SANCHEZ Jordan 100% 97% 55% 15% 2% -
76 FORD Mattie 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
77 SHADOFF Samantha 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
78 SHAKULA Matvey 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
79 KNOX Aidan 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% -
80 STEWART Sarah 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
81 BARRETT John 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
82 DOSS matthew 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
83 TYMOFIEIEVA Arina 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
84 KARTHIKEYAKANNAN Madhav 100% 100% 93% 67% 25% 4% -
85 WATKINS Robert 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
86 AGEE Brendon 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
86 VALENZUELA Elijah 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
88 LEWIS Katherine 100% 9% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.