March NAC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
2 KIM Junseong 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
3 YU Ian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
5 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
6 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
7 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
8 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
9 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
10 ZONG Shiyan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
11 LU Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
12 KOREN George 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
13 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
14 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
15 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
16 ZHANG Caleb 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
17 FENG Ledi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
18 LAI Mars 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
19 曾 ZIMO 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
20 CHEN Aaron 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
21 KIM Eric 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 6%
22 WANG David 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
23 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
24 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
25 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 3%
26 HAGN Maximilian 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 1%
27 DENG Richard 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
28 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
29 LEE Aiden 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
30 WANG Harrison 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
31 MAKLIN David 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
32 FAN Yuchen 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
33 LEE Jayden 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
34 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
35 QIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
36 ZHANG Howard 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
37 KIM Dylan 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
38 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 16% 2%
39 TABANCAY Cole 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
40 QI Zach 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
41 DUFF Michael 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
42 STYS Owen 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
43 LEE Kyle 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
44 JI Derek 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
45 WONG Alexander 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
46 BADMUS David 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
47 LUO Gavin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
48 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
49 DING Orlando 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
50 WANG Henrik 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
51 YE Aaron 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
52 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
53 FAVO Christopher 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
54 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
55 TAN Daniel 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
56 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
57 MALLARD Arthur 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
58 LVOVSKIY Roman 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1%
59 ZHAO Alexander 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
60 LIU Nico 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
61 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
62 HE Richard 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
63 RINALDI Benigno 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
64 LOVELL Jackson 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
65 WANG James 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
66 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
67 PEARL Gavin 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
68 LUO Winston 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
69 JASPERSON Nolan 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
70 YANG Aegon 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
71 ZHEN Felix 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
72 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
73 LI Linus 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
74 YANG cyrus 100% 72% 29% 5% - -
75 MISHRA Ayan 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% -
76 CHIDAMBARAM Nivedh 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
77 ZHANG Mark 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
78 LIM Jun Rui 100% 70% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.