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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

March NAC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Mila - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
2 KENSICKI Phoebe - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
3 CHANG Lydia - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 23%
3 HU Sophie - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
5 ZHANG Priscilla - - - 4% 25% 51% 20%
6 MCSHERRY Kayla - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
7 DENG Gaowa Eva - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
8 LAI Miranda - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
9 PARK Lauren - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
10 LU Keeva - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
11 CASHMAN Hailey - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
12 THOTA Akira - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
13 SOE Hayleigh - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
14 SHEN Gloria - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
15 BYK Karalina - 4% 21% 38% 29% 7%
16 SHEN Stephanie - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
17 WANG Doreen - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
18 LEE Zoe - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
19 MURPHY Genevieve - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
20 TELEB Farida - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
21 KOU Elisha - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 8%
22 DESAI Zoya - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11% 1%
23 ESAKI Kei - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
24 FRASER Morgan - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
25 KIM Audrey 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
26 MORENO Alexsis 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
27 MALIK Manha - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
28 CHAN Jolene - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
29 ZHAN Catherine 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
30 ZHAO Olivia 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3%
31 CHENG Audrey 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
32 QIN Adriana 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
33 SAIFEE Zahra - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
34 WU Allison - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
35 KENNEDY Izadora - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10%
36 HO Peyton 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
36 CHANG Chaumet Wan Ting - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
38 JOO Sara - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
39 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
40 CHAN Hailey - 2% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
41 ZHANG Hannah 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
42 HOM Emma - 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
43 XU Ella 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
44 QIAO Lori-Ann 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
45 ZHENG Annalyn 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
46 SHAOOLIAN Alexa - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
47 ARNOLD Evangeline 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
48 LIU Celia 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
48 MA Sophia 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
50 BOWDER Kate 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
51 LI Audrey 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
52 HEMPHILL Mia 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
53 NICOLETTI Thea 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
54 HINDMAN Grace 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
55 WANG Ada 1% 6% 18% 31% 28% 14% 3%
56 SAIFEE Sakina 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
57 LIU Anya 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
58 JIANG Ziqing 3% 20% 37% 28% 11% 2% -
58 CHEN Aimee 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
60 LIN Avery 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
61 LIU Mia 34% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
62 LUO Olivia 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
63 CHIN Riley 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
64 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
65 ZALTZMAN Maya 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
66 WU Gloria 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
67 YOUN Davina - 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
68 LI Emma Jing 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
69 FAN Lauren 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
70 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 9% 39% 36% 14% 2% -
71 LI Ivy 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
72 VALOUEVA Katerina 19% 53% 24% 4% - - -
73 QIN Valentina 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
74 MIKESELL Dylan 12% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
75 SMIRNOV Victoria 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
76 ESAKI Yuki 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
77 PAWAR Sanvi 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
78 KASHUBA Mila 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
78 YIN Anthea 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
80 ZHANG Selene T. 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
81 CHAN Jaclyn 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
82 HONDA Emi 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
83 YANG Claire 60% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.