March NAC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Monday, March 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
2 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 CHANG Lydia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
3 HU Sophie 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
5 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
6 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
7 DENG Gaowa Eva 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
8 LAI Miranda 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
9 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
10 LU Keeva 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
11 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
12 THOTA Akira 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
13 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
14 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
15 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
16 SHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
17 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
18 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
19 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
20 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 3%
21 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
22 DESAI Zoya 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12% 1%
23 ESAKI Kei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
24 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
25 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
26 MORENO Alexsis 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
27 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
28 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
29 ZHAN Catherine 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
30 ZHAO Olivia 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
31 CHENG Audrey 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
32 QIN Adriana 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
33 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
34 WU Allison 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
35 KENNEDY Izadora 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
36 HO Peyton 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
36 CHANG Chaumet Wan Ting 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
38 JOO Sara 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
39 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
40 CHAN Hailey 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
41 ZHANG Hannah 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
42 HOM Emma 100% 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
43 XU Ella 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
44 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
45 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
46 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
47 ARNOLD Evangeline 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
48 LIU Celia 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
48 MA Sophia 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
50 BOWDER Kate 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
51 LI Audrey 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
52 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% 1%
53 NICOLETTI Thea 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
54 HINDMAN Grace 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
55 WANG Ada 100% 99% 93% 75% 44% 16% 3%
56 SAIFEE Sakina 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
57 LIU Anya 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
58 JIANG Ziqing 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
58 CHEN Aimee 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 4% -
60 LIN Avery 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
61 LIU Mia 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
62 LUO Olivia 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
63 CHIN Riley 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
64 LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
65 ZALTZMAN Maya 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
66 WU Gloria 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
67 YOUN Davina 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
68 LI Emma Jing 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
69 FAN Lauren 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
70 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 100% 91% 52% 16% 3% -
71 LI Ivy 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
72 VALOUEVA Katerina 100% 81% 28% 4% - - -
73 QIN Valentina 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
74 MIKESELL Dylan 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% - -
75 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
76 ESAKI Yuki 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
77 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
78 KASHUBA Mila 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
78 YIN Anthea 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
80 ZHANG Selene T. 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
81 CHAN Jaclyn 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
82 HONDA Emi 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
83 YANG Claire 100% 40% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.