2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMONOV Timofey - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
2 CHEN Hanson - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
3 GERRISH William - - 2% 13% 45% 41%
3 ZENG Rick - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
5 CHENG Logan - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
6 JIMENEZ Naveen - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
7 TOOMRE Kai - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
8 SENANI Arjun 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
9 BAKSHI Aman - - 3% 15% 39% 35% 8%
10 MO Ethan - - 5% 23% 48% 24%
11 XIE Jicheng - 1% 10% 32% 42% 14%
12 XU Nathan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
13 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
14 KO Caleb - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
15 MARTIRE Luca 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
16 ZHANG GAVIN J - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 7%
17 DIAZ Gabriel - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
18 HART-SYED declan 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
19 BAGRINTSEV Nicholas 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
20 KAYE Ben 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
21 GRUNENWALD Henri 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
22 CHA James 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
23 CZARNECKI Thomas 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
24 REYES Yannik 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
25 ZHENG Austin 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
26 TANG Royce - 5% 18% 33% 31% 13% 1%
27 ULYSSE Jacob 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
28 HUANG Jinyao - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
29 KIM Daniel 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
30 MA Matthew 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
31 HELMY Richard - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
32 YOUM Tyson 28% 43% 23% 5% - - -
33 LEE Aeden 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
34 KIAYIAS Alexander 7% 28% 38% 21% 4% -
35 DI TELLA Ulises - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
36 POLEBOYINA Amrit 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
37 ZHANG Ethan 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
38 HU Daniel 18% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
39 CHANG Parker 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% -
40 CHUN Zachary 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
41 KINGSLEY Griffin 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
42 BLACK Henry 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
43 BEYDOUN Sam 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
44 BAS Jonathan 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
45 ZHENG Christopher 7% 28% 39% 22% 4% -
46 QIAN Zekai 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
47 KOVACS Harrison - < 1% 4% 20% 41% 29% 5%
48 ZHANG Ethan 4% 21% 38% 29% 8% 1% -
49 PERKINS Nathaniel 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
50 LIN Qianzhong 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
51 SANDOW Sterling 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
52 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
53 ZHANG Julian 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.