2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
3 GERRISH William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 41%
3 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 CHENG Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
6 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
7 TOOMRE Kai 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
8 SENANI Arjun 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
9 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 8%
10 MO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
11 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
12 XU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
13 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
14 KO Caleb 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
15 MARTIRE Luca 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
16 ZHANG GAVIN J 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
17 DIAZ Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
18 HART-SYED declan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
19 BAGRINTSEV Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
20 KAYE Ben 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
21 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
22 CHA James 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
23 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
24 REYES Yannik 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
25 ZHENG Austin 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
26 TANG Royce 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 1%
27 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
28 HUANG Jinyao 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
29 KIM Daniel 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
30 MA Matthew 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
31 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
32 YOUM Tyson 100% 72% 29% 6% - - -
33 LEE Aeden 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
34 KIAYIAS Alexander 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
35 DI TELLA Ulises 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
36 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
37 ZHANG Ethan 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
38 HU Daniel 100% 82% 43% 11% 1% -
39 CHANG Parker 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% -
40 CHUN Zachary 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
41 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
42 BLACK Henry 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 2% -
43 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
44 BAS Jonathan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
45 ZHENG Christopher 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
46 QIAN Zekai 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
47 KOVACS Harrison 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
48 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1% -
49 PERKINS Nathaniel 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
50 LIN Qianzhong 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
51 SANDOW Sterling 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
52 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
53 ZHANG Julian 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.