2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
2 BISONO Valentina 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
3 LI Caroline 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
3 JIANG Serena 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
5 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
6 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
7 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 3%
8 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% -
9 ZHANG Michelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
11 TAM Connie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
12 MA Sophie 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
13 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
14 YU Eva 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
15 LI Azalea 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
16 GOLIYAD Lisa 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
17 WONG Sydney 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
18 CHEN Alina 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
19 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
20 PETROFF Eva 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
21 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
22 ZHU Una 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
23 GEFFNER Olivia 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
24 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 12%
25 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
26 XIAO Katelyn 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
27 ABRAGAN Isabel Grace 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
28 ZHANG Jane 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
29 WANG Selina 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
30 BI Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
31 JOHN Hannah 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
32 SHABBIR Aiza 100% 68% 21% 3% - -
33 JU Jennifer 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
34 LENSCHOW Carla 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
35 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
36 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
37 HARBES Emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
38 SHETH Anayaà 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
39 XU Mulan 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
40 KAMENSKY Elina 100% 93% 63% 22% 4% - -
41 KOUAME Candice 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
42 ZHENG Erin 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
43 PAN Angela 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2%
44 FUNATOMI Maya 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
45 CHEN Dian 100% 70% 23% 3% - -
46 ORDORICA Abra 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
47 PINCHUK Yael 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
48 GORTI Aadya 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
49 YANG Eleanor 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
50 CHEN Allison 100% 77% 30% 5% - -
51 KHANNA Bhairavi 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% - -
52 LEE Hannah 100% 96% 64% 24% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.