The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAMBAL Sasha - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 BUSH Bethany - - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
3 CROOKS Riley - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
3 BROWN Aria - 2% 15% 39% 34% 9%
5 GUGALA Hanna - - - 5% 26% 50% 19%
6 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - - 2% 25% 73%
7 MEYERSON Michelle - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
8 STADNIK Emilia - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
9 KWON Ava - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 GONZALEZ Veronika - 1% 7% 25% 40% 26%
11 HUANG Doris - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
12 SHMULER Fiona - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
13 LEOU Korina - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
14 BAIK Sarah - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
15 WANG JiaQi - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
16 MAK Kaitlin - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
17 YANNOPOULOS Pompie - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
18 NIU Jessica - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
19 GALLAGHER Isabella 5% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
20 MACKAY Katherine - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
21 GONG Joy - - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
22 LIU Kelly - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
23 LAFFY Lily 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
24 WEI Madison 1% 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
25 NEMORIN Rei - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
26 REN Katherine - - 6% 30% 52% 11%
27 YERENKOVA Ameliia 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1%
28 HUANG Pierra 1% 12% 38% 39% 10% -
29 VISWANATHAN Nishka 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
30 MAK Jayden 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
31 IANNUZZI Lucy - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
32 PARK Haylie - 4% 24% 43% 25% 4%
33 SHEN Emily - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
34 GENTILE Vittoria - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
35 TIAN Cynthia - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
36 ZHANG Ashley - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
37 KIM Audrey 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
38 XU Elaine 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
39 LEE Grace 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
40 CASTELO Soleil - 2% 13% 37% 37% 12%
41 HAGN Luna 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
42 GUHA Surabhi - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
43 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
44 CHOI Charlotte - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
45 LEE Kaitlin - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
46 HO Sophia 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
47 KIM Grace - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
48 MERZLYAKOVA Maria 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
49 JONES Nima - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
50 WONG Charlene 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
51 KWON Ava 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
52 RIFKIN Lielle 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
53 NANDA Maanika 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
54 FOSS Persephone - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
55 HUANG Zoe 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
56 ZHAO Selena 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
57 FIGELMAN Maya 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
58 BHARDWAJ Riya 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
59 LIANG Claire - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
60 MANSPERGER Gia 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
61 NG Sophia 11% 47% 32% 8% 1% -
62 WANG Keira 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
63 GOLEN Grace 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
64 HILD Anya 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
65 SHI Chuqing 5% 26% 42% 23% 4% -
66 DIBADJ Ava 51% 39% 9% 1% - -
67 LEE Janice - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
68 NEGROIU Mara 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
69 DESAUTELS Alexandra 1% 15% 42% 32% 9% 1%
70 SMITH Genevieve 61% 33% 5% - - -
71 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 25% 51% 21% 3% - -
72 STEDMAN Sienna 16% 43% 30% 10% 2% - -
73 ZONG Eliane 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
74 KESSLER Amelia 23% 44% 25% 7% 1% - -
75 YOUNG Sienna 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
76 CHU Anna 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
77 GONZALEZ Alexis 45% 42% 12% 2% - - -
78 TA-ZHOU Sophia 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
79 MOTOVA Masha 9% 37% 39% 14% 1% -
80 FONG Abigail 38% 42% 17% 3% - -
81 JUNG Elise 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
82 WU Harper 2% 26% 42% 24% 6% - -
83 BUCCINO Sloane 46% 43% 10% 1% - -
84 MERZLYAKOVA Alexandra 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
84 PALEY Alisa 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.