2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 10:30 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
5 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 19%
6 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
7 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
8 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
9 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
11 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
12 SHMULER Fiona 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
13 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
14 BAIK Sarah 100% 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
15 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
16 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
17 YANNOPOULOS Pompie 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
18 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
19 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
20 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
21 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
22 LIU Kelly 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
23 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
24 WEI Madison 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
25 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
26 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 11%
27 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 99% 88% 48% 13% 1%
28 HUANG Pierra 100% 99% 87% 49% 10% -
29 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
30 MAK Jayden 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
31 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
32 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 4%
33 SHEN Emily 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
34 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
35 TIAN Cynthia 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
36 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
37 KIM Audrey 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 3%
38 XU Elaine 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
39 LEE Grace 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
40 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
41 HAGN Luna 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
42 GUHA Surabhi 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
43 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
44 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 5%
45 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
46 HO Sophia 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
47 KIM Grace 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
48 MERZLYAKOVA Maria 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
49 JONES Nima 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
50 WONG Charlene 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
51 KWON Ava 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
52 RIFKIN Lielle 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
53 NANDA Maanika 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
54 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
55 HUANG Zoe 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
56 ZHAO Selena 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
57 FIGELMAN Maya 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
58 BHARDWAJ Riya 100% 92% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
59 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
60 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
61 NG Sophia 100% 89% 42% 9% 1% -
62 WANG Keira 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
63 GOLEN Grace 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
64 HILD Anya 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
65 SHI Chuqing 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
66 DIBADJ Ava 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
67 LEE Janice 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
68 NEGROIU Mara 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
69 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 99% 84% 42% 10% 1%
70 SMITH Genevieve 100% 39% 6% - - -
71 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 75% 24% 3% - -
72 STEDMAN Sienna 100% 84% 42% 11% 2% - -
73 ZONG Eliane 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
74 KESSLER Amelia 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
75 YOUNG Sienna 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
76 CHU Anna 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
77 GONZALEZ Alexis 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
78 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
79 MOTOVA Masha 100% 91% 55% 16% 1% -
80 FONG Abigail 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
81 JUNG Elise 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
82 WU Harper 100% 98% 72% 30% 6% - -
83 BUCCINO Sloane 100% 54% 11% 1% - -
84 MERZLYAKOVA Alexandra 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
84 PALEY Alisa 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.