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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUCKETT Madison - - - - 1% 18% 80%
2 MCKEE Brynnley - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 YOUNG Audrey - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 1%
3 HUANG Rachael - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
5 HU Anna - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
6 MALEK Zolie - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
7 MERCHANT Aishwarya - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
8 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
9 MONTORIO Lily M. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
10 ZHANG Sophie - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
11 BUSH Bethany - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
12 DONG Angel - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
13 JOHNSTON Lily - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
14 TA-ZHOU Emma 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
15 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 2%
16 BORGUETA Madison 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
17 GUGALA Hanna - - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21%
18 REKHTMAN Alice 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% < 1% -
19 NAYAK Esha - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 2%
20 LEOU Korina - - 3% 16% 38% 33% 9%
21 MARGULIAN Maria 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
22 NICHOLAS Eva 2% 27% 41% 23% 6% 1%
23 KHOST Maeve 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
24 BROWN Aria 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
25 KANDADAI Lara 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
26 ATTIA Jasmine - - 4% 18% 39% 35% 4%
27 BAIREDDY Maya 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
27 UEMOTO Lynn 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
29 BAINS Nandini 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
29 NAYAK Antara 2% 19% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
29 LIU Kelly 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
32 NEUMAN Ella - 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
33 HUANG Doris - 8% 30% 38% 20% 4%
34 CONNOLLY Vida 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
35 HUANG Zoe 46% 42% 10% 1% - - -
36 FREEMAN Armine - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
37 BERRIOS Catalina 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
38 PASUPULETI Laya 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
39 XU Demi 18% 46% 29% 6% 1% - -
40 KRASOWITZ Lucy 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
41 MACKAY Katherine 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
42 VISWANATHAN Nishka 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
43 ONG Lauren 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
44 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
45 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
46 MANI Francesca B. 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
47 WOTZAK Kaia 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
48 MAROSFOI Virag 52% 37% 10% 1% - -
49 LAGOON Miriam 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
50 HANLON Lucy 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
51 SHMULER Fiona 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
52 GENTILE Vittoria 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
53 ROHATGI Saanvi 81% 17% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.