2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
3 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
5 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
6 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
7 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
8 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
9 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
10 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
11 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
12 DONG Angel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
13 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
14 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
15 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
16 BORGUETA Madison 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
17 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 21%
18 REKHTMAN Alice 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% < 1% -
19 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23% 2%
20 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
21 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
22 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% 1%
23 KHOST Maeve 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
24 BROWN Aria 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
25 KANDADAI Lara 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
26 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 4%
27 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
27 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 96% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
29 BAINS Nandini 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
29 NAYAK Antara 100% 98% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
29 LIU Kelly 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
32 NEUMAN Ella 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 12% 1%
33 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
34 CONNOLLY Vida 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
35 HUANG Zoe 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
36 FREEMAN Armine 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
37 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
38 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
39 XU Demi 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% - -
40 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
41 MACKAY Katherine 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
42 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
43 ONG Lauren 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
44 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
45 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
46 MANI Francesca B. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
47 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
48 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
49 LAGOON Miriam 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
50 HANLON Lucy 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
51 SHMULER Fiona 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
52 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
53 ROHATGI Saanvi 100% 19% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.