2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
2 LIU Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
3 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 30%
5 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
6 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
7 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 31%
8 LI Savannah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 3%
9 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
10 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
11 CAO Amelie 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
12 DONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
13 CHOI Cara 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
14 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
15 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
16 GE Deanna 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% -
17 LIN Yunong 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 23%
18 DINAR Julia 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6% -
19 SHUTZER Lily 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 6% -
20 LAU Victoria 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
21 GOODMAN Carden 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
22 LEO Jenna 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
23 SHANG Arianna 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
24 YOUM Amelia 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
25 ZHANG Caroline 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
26 LIN Zhishan 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
27 ZHU Ella 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
28 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12% 1%
29 YEH Constance 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
30 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
31 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
32 BO Iris 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
33 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
34 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
35 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
36 DONG Katelyn 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
37 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
38 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
39 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
40 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
41 PAEK Mila 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
41 IM Charlotte 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.