2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAI Evan - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
2 TAYCHER Aaron - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
3 ROPER F. Elijah - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
3 AVERY Marcus - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
5 LIN Brendan - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
6 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
8 BIVIJI Adam - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
10 MALEK Zak 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 2%
11 WU Vincent - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
12 SO Morgan - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
13 FOUX Jonathan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
14 LUCAS William - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
15 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
16 ARCHIBALD Zachary - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
17 HU Jayden - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
18 KHANNA Adamantis - - - - 4% 25% 71%
19 HENDERSON Louis - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
20 CHAVAN Aditya - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
21 MIAO Heqi - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
22 SONG Aidan - 2% 8% 23% 34% 25% 7%
23 BURENKOV Matthew 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
24 SAGE Nikolai - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17%
25 CUSSON William 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
26 LEE Blake - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 1%
27 BEAL Colton - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
28 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
29 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
30 WONG Reagan 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
31 CHANG Timothy 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
32 EARLEY Jack 15% 34% 31% 15% 4% 1% -
33 BENNETT Lachlan 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1%
34 CHEN Leo 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
35 KOREN George - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16%
36 HOWARTH Hayes 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
37 FRANCOIS Gabriel - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
38 CHEN Anson 3% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
39 BROOKS Drake 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
40 SUH Leo 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
41 SHAPIRO Leo - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
42 LEVY Daniel 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
43 BRADY Jack 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
44 ZHANG Howard 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
45 MELE Gianni - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
46 LIUZHANG Ben 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
47 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
48 CHAN Ewan 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
49 YAO John 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
50 STOLCKE Julian - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
51 SUBA Mason - 2% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4%
52 ZALETAEV Jacob - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
53 FIELDS Eli - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
54 HAGN Maximilian 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
55 RIVERATAN Darshan - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
56 LAU Kyrus 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
57 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
58 ALUF Brendon 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
59 NG Oliver - 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
60 VISH Manyu 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
61 ZHAO Owen 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
62 DATTILIO Aidan 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
63 HAHN Ever - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
64 CARR Silas 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
65 KOREN David 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
66 DY Azriel 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
67 HALUSKA Rex - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
68 TERENTIEV Michael 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
69 ZHANG Simon - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
70 HALACSY Edomer 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
71 WEI Hunter 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
72 MAKLIN David 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
73 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
74 RISMAN Edward 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
75 LEE Jeffrey 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
76 HATCH Oliver 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
77 CHEN Kevin 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
78 KATZ Isaac 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
78 GUEGAN Gabriel 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
80 ALLEN Parker 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
81 LONGCORE Daniel 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
82 JACOBS Eitan 9% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
83 MERZLYAKOV VLadimir 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
84 JIN Michael 4% 30% 40% 21% 5% -
85 HUANG Lucas 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
86 LI kevin 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
86 GILBERT Ari 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
88 GU Viljo Weihan 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2% -
89 ZHANG Mark 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
89 BLACK Bauer 61% 32% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.