2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
2 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
5 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
6 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
7 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
8 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
9 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
10 MALEK Zak 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 2%
11 WU Vincent 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
12 SO Morgan 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
13 FOUX Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
14 LUCAS William 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
15 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
16 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
17 HU Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
18 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
19 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
20 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
21 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
22 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
23 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2% -
24 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
25 CUSSON William 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
26 LEE Blake 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
27 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
28 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
29 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 9%
30 WONG Reagan 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
31 CHANG Timothy 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
32 EARLEY Jack 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
33 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
34 CHEN Leo 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
35 KOREN George 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
36 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
37 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
38 CHEN Anson 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
39 BROOKS Drake 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
40 SUH Leo 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
41 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3%
42 LEVY Daniel 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
43 BRADY Jack 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
44 ZHANG Howard 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
45 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
46 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
47 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
48 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
49 YAO John 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
50 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
51 SUBA Mason 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
52 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
53 FIELDS Eli 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
54 HAGN Maximilian 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
55 RIVERATAN Darshan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
56 LAU Kyrus 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
57 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
58 ALUF Brendon 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
59 NG Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
60 VISH Manyu 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
61 ZHAO Owen 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
62 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
63 HAHN Ever 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
64 CARR Silas 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
65 KOREN David 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
66 DY Azriel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
67 HALUSKA Rex 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
68 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
69 ZHANG Simon 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
70 HALACSY Edomer 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
71 WEI Hunter 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
72 MAKLIN David 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
73 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
74 RISMAN Edward 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
75 LEE Jeffrey 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
76 HATCH Oliver 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
77 CHEN Kevin 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
78 KATZ Isaac 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
78 GUEGAN Gabriel 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
80 ALLEN Parker 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
81 LONGCORE Daniel 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
82 JACOBS Eitan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
83 MERZLYAKOV VLadimir 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 12% 2%
84 JIN Michael 100% 96% 66% 26% 5% -
85 HUANG Lucas 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
86 LI kevin 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
86 GILBERT Ari 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
88 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
89 ZHANG Mark 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
89 BLACK Bauer 100% 39% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.