2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KO Caleb - - - 2% 12% 38% 49%
2 HOU Gaven - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
3 XU Nathan - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
3 TOOMRE Kai - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
5 GRIGORIEV Michael - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
6 CZARNECKI Thomas - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
7 ZHANG Hanru - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
8 HUANG Jinyao - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
9 HU Daniel 1% 8% 32% 39% 17% 3% -
10 WANG Ancen - 1% 7% 30% 43% 19%
11 XIAN kevin - - - 3% 26% 71%
12 KOVACS Harrison - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 7%
13 ULYSSE Jacob - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
14 SHARMA Ari - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
15 BAS Jonathan 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
16 ROPER Griffin 9% 42% 36% 11% 1% -
17 BEYDOUN Sam - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
18 TANG Michael 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
19 ARORA Maximilian Andras A. - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
20 SHEN Lucas 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% -
21 LIU jeremy 2% 19% 43% 28% 7% 1%
22 KIM Daniel 13% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
23 CHANG Parker - - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
24 GUGALA Frank 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
25 MA Matthew - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
26 JAZWINSKI Ryan - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
27 KAYE Ben 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
28 CHOI Hunter 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
29 CAO Joshua 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
30 DENG Jonathan 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
31 EHIEMERE Ikemba 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
32 DAVIDSON Henry 20% 49% 26% 5% - - -
33 YOUM Tyson 13% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
34 SU Aiden - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
35 XIA Vincent 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
36 ZHAO David 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
37 KEEGAN Cole 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
38 KINGSLEY Griffin 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
39 LIN Qianzhong 1% 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
40 LEE Aeden 4% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
41 CHENUTULA Abhinav 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
42 HU Michael 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
43 ZHENG Austin 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
44 ZHANG Ethan 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
45 PITERBARG Lev 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
46 LI Andrew 1% 10% 31% 36% 17% 4% -
47 MANCHALA Vedanth 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
48 HUANG Marcus 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
49 CONNELLY Malcolm 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
50 MOON Nicolas 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
51 PANG Owen 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
52 POLEBOYINA Aarav 63% 32% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.