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2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VAROQUA Nalby 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
2 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 6%
3 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
3 DEPEW Spencer - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
5 MORALES Jonathan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
6 MEYERSON Jacob - 1% 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
7 CHEN Samuel - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
8 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 20%
9 ENGEL Peter - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 16%
10 OH Aster 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
11 DUMOULIN Gabriel - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
12 GINSBERG Jordan - 1% 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
13 SAVOY Luca - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
14 WANG Weiyun 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
15 BRANDT Jaden - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
16 KIM Theodore 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
17 KATZ Ryan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
18 LIU Kevin - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
19 HO Jacob 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
20 EYBELMAN Ariel 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
21 DOWNEY Baran - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
22 LEE Andrew - 1% 8% 22% 35% 26% 8%
23 DIMATTEO Michael 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
24 MCCARTHY Devan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
25 TAUER Sam 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
26 CHEN Jonathan - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
27 SUN Andrew 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
28 AYDOGDU Hakan 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
29 BUCK Maximilian 27% 40% 24% 8% 1% - -
30 TOZZI Massimo 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
31 XU Justin 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
32 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
33 GONG Jerry - 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 5%
34 PINTO Marcus - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
35 FELDMAN Drew - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
36 ONG Dylan 3% 19% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
37 COUNTS Nicholas - 8% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
38 HENDERSON Lucas 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
39 LEE Anderson 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
40 UEMOTO Ken 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
41 BODKIN Jake M. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
42 HUANG Alexander C. - - 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
43 LAUB William - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
43 GONG zihao - 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
45 SHINCHUK Daniel 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
46 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
47 HUANG Connor - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
48 SUBA Lucas 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
49 KOGAN Yelisey L. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
50 KALOUDIS Sean 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
51 MATTINGLY Ian 25% 47% 23% 4% - - -
52 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
53 MARGULIS Jared 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
54 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
55 KOGAN Nikita 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
56 WEISS Toby 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
57 WU Timothy 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
58 FERTIL Ethan 14% 58% 24% 3% - - -
59 WEBER Mattias A. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
60 JACQUES Hugo 34% 46% 17% 2% - - -
61 MAMKIN Nathan 73% 25% 2% - - - -
62 JAIN Karanvir 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.