2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
2 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
3 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
5 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
6 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
7 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
8 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
9 ENGEL Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
10 OH Aster 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
11 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
12 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
13 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
14 WANG Weiyun 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
15 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
16 KIM Theodore 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
17 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
18 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
19 HO Jacob 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
20 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
21 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
22 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
23 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
24 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
25 TAUER Sam 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
26 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
27 SUN Andrew 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
28 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
29 BUCK Maximilian 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
30 TOZZI Massimo 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
31 XU Justin 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
32 O'LOUGHLIN Quinlan 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
33 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
34 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
35 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8%
36 ONG Dylan 100% 97% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
37 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% -
38 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 98% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
39 LEE Anderson 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
40 UEMOTO Ken 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
41 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 6% -
42 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
43 LAUB William 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
43 GONG zihao 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
45 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
46 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 79% 42% 13% 2% - -
47 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
48 SUBA Lucas 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
49 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
50 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
51 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
52 CHAKRAVORTY Sohan 100% 90% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
53 MARGULIS Jared 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
54 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
55 KOGAN Nikita 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
56 WEISS Toby 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
57 WU Timothy 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
58 FERTIL Ethan 100% 86% 28% 4% - - -
59 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
60 JACQUES Hugo 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
61 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 27% 2% - - - -
62 JAIN Karanvir 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.