2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
2 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
5 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 XU Elaine 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
8 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
9 ZHAO Selena 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
10 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
11 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
12 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
13 GOEL Lineysha 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
14 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
15 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
16 HUANG Pierra 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
17 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
17 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
19 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
20 LEE Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
21 YOUNG Sienna 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
22 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
23 WEI Madison 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
24 GOLEN Grace 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1%
25 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
26 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
27 KIM Grace 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
28 ZONG Eliane 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
29 REN Katherine 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
29 ZHANG Audrey 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
31 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 2%
32 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
33 HILD Anya 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
34 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
35 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
36 HARRIS Maya Hué 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
37 MAGITSKY Giadora 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
38 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
39 MOFFITT Charlotte 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
40 WANG Keira 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
41 JOHN Sophia 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
42 MUNSHI Ridhima 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
43 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
44 GU Allison 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
45 CHU Anna 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
46 MOTOVA Masha 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
47 NEGROIU Mara 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
48 SAGER Bianca 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
49 FONG Zoe 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
50 CHEN Chloe 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
51 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
52 STOLCKE Saskia 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
53 YAP Anna 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
54 DIBADJ Ava 100% 38% 6% - - -
55 WU Harper 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
56 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
57 BAO Amelia 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
58 LEE Elise 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
59 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
60 PASSMAN Caroline 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
61 PATEL Maia 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
62 KWAN Kelly 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
63 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
64 JUN Sofia 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
65 PARAISO Isabella 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.