Evanston, IL - Evanston, IL, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PERRIER Clement | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 2 | ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| 3 | WILDE Dexter T. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 3 | KULDELL Spencer D. | D V V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 5 | ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 6 | MULVANEY Alec S. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 7 | PRIEST Leighton K. | V V V V D V | V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 8 | VASILYEV Nikita K. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 9 | SINGER Carson | V V V D V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | MILLER Levi H. | V V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 11 | CICHOCKI David K. | V V D V V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 12 | YAN Jack P. | D D V V V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 13 | KOKKIN Jack S. | V V V V D D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 14 | CUNNINGHAM William | D V V V V D | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 15 | RABINKOV Anthony | V V V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 16 | HANEY Vincent | D V V D V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 17 | LEFEVRE Colin B. | V D V V V D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 18 | LAI Daniel | V V D D V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 19 | WHEELER Nathaniel C. | D V D V V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 20 | BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. | D V V D D V | D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 20 | NARANJO David E. | V V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 22 | LE Hayden | V D D D V V | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 23 | SCHARDINE Ryan | D D D V V V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 24 | PARKER Timothy S. | V D D D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 25 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | D V D V D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 26 | RESHEIDAT Malik | V V D D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 27 | MILLER Douglas S. | D D D D V V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 28 | VILLARREAL Mateo | D D D V V D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 29 | ZIRKLE James | V D D V D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 30 | CHENG Albert | D V V D D D | V D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 31 | KELSEY Bennett L. | D D V D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 32 | YANG Chenguang | D D D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 33 | FURMAN Thomas G. | V D D D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 34 | JAMISON-KOENIG Matthias (Thias) P. | D D D D V D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 34 | CLARK Andrew | D D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 36 | SCHARDINE James | D D D D D V | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 37 | GOLD Jackson | D D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 38 | FORBES Wyatt | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 39 | YANG Ethan | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 40 | WINEBURNER J.T. | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 41 | LIU Aaron | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.