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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

South Coast RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 10, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Exhibit Halls A & B - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAE Yooju - - - - - 8% 91%
2 KIM Sydney - - 1% 11% 43% 44%
3 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - - - 5% 33% 61%
3 YAO abby - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
5 RUI Jessie - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
6 LI Joy - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
7 XIA Isabella 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
8 PARK Lauren - 1% 6% 25% 45% 23%
9 LI Alice - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
10 ZOU JIAYING 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% < 1%
11 FANG Kelervia - - 3% 24% 50% 23%
12 ZEE Savannah - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
13 KENSICKI Phoebe - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
14 DENG Claire 1% 8% 32% 40% 17% 2%
15 SOE Hayleigh - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
16 LIM Kensie - 2% 19% 48% 27% 4%
17 LIU Ariana - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
18 WANG Doreen - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
19 HSIAO Ariya - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19% 1%
20 OLSHANSKY Dalia - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
21 CHANG Olivia - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 2%
22 DAI Iris Yuyang - - 7% 34% 47% 12%
23 ZHOU Joi - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
24 ZHANG Queeny 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
25 ZHAO Olivia - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
26 CHEN Madeleine 2% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
27 HUGHES Olivia 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
28 SAIFEE Zahra - 2% 18% 47% 29% 4%
29 LIU Ashley 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
30 WANG Yanxuan (Alicia) - - 5% 22% 43% 28% 1%
31 LIM Kora 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
32 LUCAS Ava - 8% 29% 39% 20% 4%
33 XI Sophia 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
34 YUNG Zoe 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
35 ZHANG Hannah 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
36 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
37 TENKAYALA Keertana - 1% 10% 33% 43% 14%
38 BENNYHOFF Myla 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
39 YUEN Kaitlyn 12% 48% 32% 7% - -
40 SAIFEE Sakina 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
41 KIM Natalie 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
42 TU Averie 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
43 CHEN Yifan 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
44 BHANGOO Paloma 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
45 DESAI Zoya 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% -
46 AHN Hayley 8% 43% 40% 9% 1% -
47 KIM Phoebe 66% 31% 3% - - -
48 YANG Grace 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
49 DAM Sofi 6% 35% 44% 14% 1% -
50 CHU Lauren 3% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1%
50 VIERTEL Etta 62% 33% 5% - - -
52 CHAMOUN Audrey 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
53 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
54 GOWDA Siyona 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% - -
55 FAN Sophia 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% -
56 TANG Amelia 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2% -
57 WANG Ellen 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
58 YU Xintong 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
59 YATAVELLI Aria 70% 26% 3% - - -
60 NICOLETTI Thea 2% 25% 51% 19% 2% -
61 BUSCHKOETTER Gwen 16% 40% 32% 11% 1% -
61 WANG Gabrielle 36% 45% 17% 3% - -
63 DE JESUS Rachel 1% 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
63 LEI Yifei Faye 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.