MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Senior (unrated only) - All foil event

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Joey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
2 NEUMANN Erika 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 9% 1%
3 CHEN Ryker 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 HSIAO Ariya 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
5 YANG Steve 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
6 HSU Rachel 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
7 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
8 SHEN Alaric 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
9 MA Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
10 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
11 LI Sophia 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
12 KO Ian 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
13 JUE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 12% 1%
14 KIM Parker 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
15 AHN Hayley 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
16 JOESUF Thea 100% 99% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
17 JENA Aanvi 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
18 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
19 KAJITA Grayson 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
20 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
21 LIU Mia 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
22 YU Xintong 100% 90% 57% 21% 3% - -
23 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
24 LI Aaron 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
25 CHU Lauren 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
26 PARK Seojeong 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
27 GU Evan 100% 62% 19% 2% - - -
28 ALCAZAREN Cian 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
29 STERNAD Pia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
30 FISCHER Grant 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
31 JEANSON Sierra 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
32 CHEUNG Henry 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
33 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
34 CHOI William 100% 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
35 DONG Nancy 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.