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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LONG Chloe	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	63%
2	FAN Tina	-	-	1%	15%	44%	40%
3	HU Ashley	-	-	-	4%	18%	41%	36%
3	RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla	-	-	5%	22%	44%	29%
5	CHEN Cindy	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	22%
6	BRIMMER Bella	-	5%	24%	41%	25%	4%
7	CHENG Anna	-	-	2%	20%	46%	32%
8	CHANG Kora	-	4%	16%	32%	32%	14%	2%
9	LIU Isabel	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	28%	5%
10	WANG April	-	2%	10%	27%	35%	21%	4%
11	CORD Sophia	-	4%	19%	36%	31%	9%
12	SHI Maxine	-	1%	10%	36%	41%	12%
13	CONG Catherine	-	3%	18%	40%	33%	7%
14	LIANG Madelyn	-	5%	19%	35%	29%	10%	1%
15	CAO Kim	-	1%	11%	38%	38%	10%
16	LUC Christabel	11%	39%	35%	13%	2%	-
17	ZOFFEL Gabriela	-	1%	12%	40%	37%	10%
18	HWANG Sophie	-	-	1%	10%	38%	51%
18	CHENG Zijuan "Grace"	-	-	5%	28%	46%	20%
20	WANG Makayla	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	8%
20	ASHIKHMINA Agniya	-	5%	26%	43%	23%	3%
22	TABANCAY Ava	3%	19%	37%	30%	10%	1%	-
23	ZHAO Audrey	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
24	DUDNICK Caitlin	-	6%	26%	40%	23%	4%
25	GUERVILLE Angelique	5%	23%	38%	26%	8%	1%
26	TAN Angela	20%	47%	27%	5%	-	-
27	ZEITHAMMER Hanna	35%	44%	18%	3%	-	-
28	HUANG Rachel	3%	19%	40%	30%	8%	1%
29	YU Sydney	8%	33%	43%	14%	2%	-
30	WU Melody	19%	41%	30%	9%	1%	-
31	SEELMAN Alexa	28%	47%	21%	3%	-	-
32	KENNEDY Elizabeth	16%	37%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
33	CERVERA Zoe	28%	46%	22%	4%	-	-
34	WU Renee	-	3%	19%	37%	29%	10%	1%
35	ZHOU Kelsey	2%	14%	32%	33%	15%	3%	-
36	SHETTY Katherine	53%	37%	9%	1%	-	-
37	LI Audrey	4%	19%	34%	29%	11%	2%	-
38	CHAN Clara	12%	32%	34%	17%	4%	1%	-
39	ROBBINS Lydia	1%	8%	30%	40%	18%	2%
40	LIU Kaylee	9%	39%	37%	13%	2%	-
41	MATSUMOTO ELLE	6%	31%	46%	16%	2%	-
41	QIU isla	36%	45%	17%	2%	-	-
43	WYTCHERLEY Asteria	18%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-
44	RUSHFIELD Katrina	19%	39%	30%	11%	2%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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