kelsey zhou

2014

West Coast Fencing Academy

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 15 15 1 - - 31
Losses 38 46 4 - - 88
Win Ratio 28.3% 24.6% 20.0% - - 26.1%
Pool Victories 13 13 1 - - 27
Pool Losses 30 37 3 - - 70
Pool Win Ratio 30.2% 26.0% 25.0% - - 27.8%
DE Victories 2 2 - - - 4
DE Losses 8 9 1 - - 18
DE Win Ratio 20.0% 18.2% 0.0% - - 18.2%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 2 6 - - - 8
Easy wins as % of wins 13.3% 40.0% 0.0% - - 25.8%
Close wins‡ 5 2 - - - 7
Close wins as % of all wins 33.3% 13.3% 0.0% - - 22.6%
Close losses‡ 4 6 - - - 10
Close losses as % of all losses 10.5% 13.0% 0.0% - - 11.4%
Big losses† 16 31 3 - - 50
Big losses as % of all losses 42.1% 67.4% 75.0% - - 56.8%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 8 9 1 - - 18
Tournaments 8 9 1 - - 18

Competition History

Rain City Super Youth Circuit (SYC)

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), April 21, 2024
Place 11, Seed 15, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 KARAVAS Lucy 10 48 U 13 Fencing Academy Of Boston 925 571 22.0 28%
Pool L 2:5 CHEN Cindy 3 11 U 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1396 593 3.3 9%
Pool L 0:5 FAN Tina 4 13 U 7 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1371 590 3.5 10%
Pool L 2:5 CORD Sophia 9 23 U 5 Premier Fencing Academy 1226 587 4.8 15%
T16 L 6:10 QIU Abigail 5 15 U 6 Oregon Fencing Alliance 1896 1142 17.5 12%

5th Annual Precision RYC and RJC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), April 14, 2024
Place 21, Seed 17, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 WU Melody 30 U 15 South Bay Fencing Academy 587 557 14.9 48%
Pool W 5:4 YU Sydney 20 U 29 Phoenix Fencing Academy 411 572 12.0 60%
Pool L 3:5 BRIAN Gigi 36 U 38 Scout Fencing Club 305 584 19.9 67%
Pool W 5:2 LIU Anya 37 U 24 Laguna Fencing Center 615 564 15.9 47%
Pool L 0:5 FAN Tina 5 13 U 8 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1389 580 3.3 9%
Pool L 1:5 SHI Maxine 8 18 U 9 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1157 577 5.6 17%
T32 L 8:10 DUDNICK Caitlin 9 26 U 12 Fencing Academy Of Denver 1741 1168 26.4 19%

Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), March 22, 2024
Place 35, Seed 30, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 LIANG Madelyn 38 U 14 South Bay Fencing Academy 748 578 12.8 39%
Pool L 4:5 LIU Isabel 14 47 U 9 Spartak 958 565 8.9 26%
Pool W 5:4 LI Audrey 15 U 37 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 553 556 14.4 50%
Pool L 2:5 LONG Chloe 1 3 U 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1544 571 2.3 5%
Pool L 4:5 ZHAO Audrey 28 U 23 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 391 568 19.1 61%
Pool W 5:2 RUSHFIELD Katrina 42 U 44 Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC) 150 549 8.3 73%
T64 L 4:10 WU Melody 19 U 30 South Bay Fencing Academy 1469 1208 39.4 38%

South Coast RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), March 10, 2024
Place 26, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 GUERVILLE Angelique 17 U 8 West Coast Fencing Academy 834 592 12.3 35%
Pool L 4:5 SHI Maxine 8 18 U 18 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1141 579 6.9 18%
Pool L 0:5 CHEN Cindy 5 11 U 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1377 572 3.9 9%
Pool L 3:5 YU Sydney 39 U 33 Phoenix Fencing Academy 529 568 17.3 52%
Pool W 5:3 KIM Erin Sihyo 29 U 30 South Bay Fencing Academy 275 551 11.2 67%
Pool W 5:3 CHAN Clara 31 U 41 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 513 562 15.5 53%
T64 W 10:3 LU Livia 24 U 40 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 898 1203 46.6 66%
T32 L 5:10 LIU Isabel 11 47 U 7 Spartak 1624 1249 41.4 28%

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), January 14, 2024
Place 18, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 SHETTY Katherine 35 U 28 South Bay Fencing Academy 144 563 9.5 74%
Pool L 1:5 GUO YUKI 13 U 6 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1032 573 9.0 23%
Pool W 5:4 BRIAN Gigi 32 U 34 Scout Fencing Club 297 564 11.7 66%
Pool L 1:5 HU Ashley 1 6 U 9 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1394 576 4.0 9%
Pool W 5:3 CUI Andrea 24 U 22 Laguna Fencing Center 669 572 20.1 44%
T32 L 2:10 GUERVILLE Angelique 19 U 15 West Coast Fencing Academy 1529 1256 53.1 35%

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), October 6, 2023
Place 24, Seed 25, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 QIU Abigail 9 14 U 14 Oregon Fencing Alliance 1250 604 6.5 15%
Pool L 2:5 LEE Jadyn 17 U 20 Bay Area Fencing Club 1239 597 6.8 22%
Pool L 3:5 GAO Olivia 8 14 U 13 Globus Fencing Academy 1122 591 8.2 20%
Pool L 1:5 CORD Sophia 16 U 9 Premier Fencing Academy 1309 583 5.4 12%
Pool L 2:5 WANG April 22 U 8 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 930 577 11.1 28%
Pool L 3:5 LONG Chloe 1 3 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1542 566 2.7 5%
T32 L 2:10 CHEN Cindy 5 9 U 2 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2175 1274 18.4 9%

11th Annual Little Musketeers RYC / RCC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), September 10, 2023
Place 25, Seed 21, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 CHANG Kora 25 U 12 West Coast Fencing Academy 858 668 15.0 39%
Pool L 3:5 LIU Anya 13 U 19 Laguna Fencing Center 484 653 25.2 61%
Pool L 3:5 CHEN Cindy 5 7 U 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1360 627 5.6 12%
Pool L 2:5 HU Ashley 4 6 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1451 622 4.3 9%
Pool L 0:5 WANG April 12 U 16 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 888 617 13.4 33%
T32 L 1:10 SHI Maxine 9 19 U 6 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1761 1322 47.8 26%

Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), September 4, 2023
Place 16, Seed 15, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 CHENG Anna 6 9 U 10 West Coast Fencing Academy 1233 668 9.0 18%
Pool W 5:4 AHMED Jennah 31 U 22 San Diego Fencing Center 524 659 16.7 58%
Pool W 5:1 ZHAO Audrey 16 U 31 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 244 676 10.9 74%
Pool L 2:5 GUO YUKI 26 U 23 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1041 687 12.7 28%
Pool L 3:5 CHEN Cindy 5 7 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1362 674 6.5 13%
T32 W 10:6 LUC Christabel 33 U 17 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1492 1219 136.5 35%
T16 L 2:10 FAN Tina 2 3 U 6 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2033 1355 33.5 15%

Fortune Fencing Non-Regional Y8

Y-8 Women's Saber (U, Y8), March 24, 2023
Place 5, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 CHENG Aria 10 U 15 West Coast Fencing Academy 2500 611 40.2 3%
Pool W 5:2 LIU Anya 12 U 9 Laguna Fencing Center 521 651 19.8 58%
Pool L 3:5 GUO YUKI 8 U 2 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 997 671 14.4 30%
Pool W 5:2 LU Livia 2 U 10 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 207 657 11.2 76%
T16 W 10:9 LIANG Madelyn 1 U 14 South Bay Fencing Academy 1140 1173 104.0 52%
T8 L 2:10 CHENG Anna 11 U 1 West Coast Fencing Academy 1779 1277 57.8 24%

Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), March 24, 2023
Place 34, Seed 35, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 NGUYEN Summer 1 6 U 9 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1865 692 2.3 3%
Pool L 4:5 LAUREYNS Ainsley 13 45 U 18 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1611 690 4.7 7%
Pool L 3:5 WANG April 25 U 28 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 748 685 24.1 46%
Pool L 4:5 WU Amelie 26 U 30 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 966 661 16.0 32%
Pool L 0:5 HU Ashley 11 40 U 5 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1330 645 7.8 13%
Pool L 3:5 BRIMMER Bella 38 U 27 Las Vegas Fencing Academy 588 637 25.9 53%
T64 L 4:10 RADY-PENTEK Marie 33 U 31 Phoenix Fencing Academy 2240 1198 25.8 8%

4th Annual Precision Invitational RYC and RJC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), February 12, 2023
Place 28, Seed 18, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 CHENG Anna 24 U 17 West Coast Fencing Academy 1151 766 16.6 27%
Pool L 1:5 HWANG Sophie 7 20 U 11 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1446 749 8.8 13%
Pool L 3:5 SUTHERLAND Sadie 14 U 25 Spartak 645 740 31.5 56%
Pool L 0:5 CAI Joanna 4 16 U 3 Laguna Fencing Center 1724 709 3.7 5%
Pool L 1:5 CHEN Cindy 25 U 14 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1173 705 13.1 23%
T32 L 6:10 CHANG Kaitlyn 23 U 10 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1713 1277 78.2 30%

South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), January 15, 2023
Place 23, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 9 42 U 7 West Coast Fencing Academy 1613 739 7.0 9%
Pool L 4:5 CHEN Claire 26 U 17 Laguna Fencing Center 1341 732 12.2 18%
Pool W 5:4 GUO YUKI 21 U 25 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 943 719 41.9 36%
Pool L 1:5 HWANG Sophie 2 15 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1412 761 10.4 15%
Pool W 5:2 LU Livia 27 U 28 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 302 751 14.9 75%
T32 L 4:10 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 9 42 U 7 West Coast Fencing Academy 1994 1342 65.7 20%

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC (D1A/VET)

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), November 4, 2022
Place 30, Seed 13, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 CHANG Kaitlyn 33 U 26 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1076 814 45.9 36%
Pool L 0:5 SCHMIDT Sophie 8 U 18 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 639 860 42.6 62%
Pool L 1:5 HAYHOE Tara 18 U 9 Cardinal Fencing Club 1330 817 16.6 21%
Pool L 0:5 TANG Athena 19 U 27 The Fencing Center 715 801 38.1 55%
Pool L 3:5 KIM Saeren 28 U 11 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1285 763 15.2 21%
Pool L 1:5 LONG Chloe 3 9 U 9 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1528 747 8.6 11%
T32 L 0:10 LONG Chloe 3 9 U 9 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2025 1423 80.7 22%

AFM Local Y8 All Weapons at AFM Super Regional

Y-8 Women's Saber (U, Y8), November 4, 2022
Place 6, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 CHENG Anna 7 U 3 West Coast Fencing Academy 1085 906 38.2 39%
Pool L 0:5 HWANG Sophie 3 U 2 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1125 868 32.9 34%
Pool L 4:5 QIU Abigail 4 U 3 Oregon Fencing Alliance 3607 835 0.0 < 1%
Pool W 5:0 WONG Julia 2 U 7 Cardinal Fencing Club 1015 835 44.8 41%
Pool L 0:5 LUC Christabel 5 U 5 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 777 879 44.5 56%
Pool L 1:5 FAN Tina 6 U 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1287 835 20.9 24%
T8 L 6:10 QIU Abigail 4 U 3 Oregon Fencing Alliance 3435 1430 7.3 2%

Laguna - Youth Sabre Cup #1 - Y10,12,14

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), October 9, 2022
Place 16, Seed 18, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 19 U 3 West Coast Fencing Academy 1029 1002 62.3 48%
Pool L 0:5 CHENG Zijuan 7 U 15 West Coast Fencing Academy 1545 939 23.7 24%
Pool L 1:5 CAI Joanna 1 13 U 7 Laguna Fencing Center 1551 916 22.0 16%
Pool W 5:1 MATSUMOTO Elle 12 U 18 Laguna Fencing Center 1067 894 68.4 40%
Pool L 1:5 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 13 U 5 Laguna Fencing Center 1113 962 43.3 41%
Pool L 4:5 LONG Chloe 6 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1729 919 13.0 11%
T32 W 10:5 SUTHERLAND Sadie 8 U 17 Spartak 2643 1135 405.1 8%
T16 L 4:10 LONG Chloe 6 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2010 1541 110.1 29%

San Diego Cup - Saber Youth #1

Y-10 Women's Saber (U, Y10), September 18, 2022
Place 11, Seed 16, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 HU Olivia 8 U 6 West Coast Fencing Academy 1417 888 35.2 22%
Pool W 5:0 SUTHERLAND Sadie 14 U 16 Spartak 2500 853 113.8 6%
Pool W 5:0 LIU Anya 12 U 17 Laguna Fencing Center 495 967 35.0 76%
Pool L 1:5 NGUYEN Summer 1 U 1 SoCal fencing academy
Pool L 0:5 LONG Chloe 6 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona
T16 L 4:10 HU Olivia 8 U 6 West Coast Fencing Academy 1486 1374 238.3 45%

Fortune Fencing Summer Non-Regional Y8

Y-8 Women's Saber (U, Y8), August 28, 2022
Place 5, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 CHENG Anna 6 U 2 West Coast Fencing Academy 1520 969 86.3 25%
Pool L 0:5 HWANG Sophie 4 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 692 883 194.9 60%
Pool W 5:3 LIU Anya 8 U 6 Laguna Fencing Center 738 688 137.5 47%
Pool W 5:3 AHN Irene 3 U 8 Laguna Fencing Center 718 825 92.4 55%
Pool W 5:2 MATSUMOTO ELLE 1 U 7 Laguna Fencing Center 1402 918 161.1 25%
Pool L 4:5 GUO YUKI 2 U 3 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) / LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 897 1079 118.2 61%
Pool L 0:5 FAN Tina 5 U 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1085 961 72.6 43%
T8 L 2:10 GUO YUKI 2 U 3 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) / LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1350 2079 705.7 77%

Fortune Fencing Non-Regional Y8

Y-8 Women's Saber (U, Y8), March 18, 2022
Place 10, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, West Coast Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 2 U 5 West Coast Fencing Academy 2500 2500 420.5 50%
Pool W 5:3 LIU Anya 6 U 11 Laguna Fencing Center 1120 2079 158.6 81%
Pool L 1:5 FAN Tina 10 U 2 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 935 2238 906.8 93%
Pool L 3:5 HU Ashley 7 U 3 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 866 1331 362.4 72%
T16 L 4:10 DUDNICK Caitlin 4 U 7 Fencing Academy Of Denver 2500 2500 420.5 50%