George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Silver Spring, MD, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YU William | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 2 | PECK Quinn | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | HINDS David E. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SELSER Ella | V V V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| 5 | HAYES Nathan P. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | METZ Mason | D V V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 7 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 8 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | V D V D D | V V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 9 | SIN Steve | V D V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | WU Geoffrey | V V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 11 | MITCHELL Christopher | V V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 12 | HIGGINS Jackie | V V V V D D | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 13 | STANSBURY Desmond | V D V V D V | V D | 1.5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| 14 | NOSIK Gabriel | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 15 | TOMASI Samantha | V D V V D V | V V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 16 | STADTHER Christopher J. | V V D V D | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 17 | EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. | V V V V V V | D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 18 | BURKE Daniel J. | V V V D V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 19 | CHENH Justin | V V D V V D | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 20 | CANDELARIA Armando | D V V V V D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 21 | HOPSON Ethan | V V D V V D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | DONOHUE Peter | D V V V D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 23 | RYAN Sean | D V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 24 | PISTONE Leah | D V D D V V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 25 | ELPURNOMO Aldrin | D V V D V D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 26 | JARVIS Owen | D V D V V D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 27 | CROWE Nathan | D V D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 28 | WU Lorena | V V D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 29 | CHAO Pierre | D V D D V D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 30 | NSUBUGA Jeffrey | V D D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | IVATURI Sivakrishna | D D D V V D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 32 | MEYERHOLZ Alec | D V D D V D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 33 | CROWE Talia | D D D V D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 34 | CHANDLEE Thomas | D D D D V | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 35 | SIN William | D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 36 | STRUMLAUF Jacob | V D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 37 | STEFFENSEN Lily | V D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 38 | POOLE Katherine | D D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 39 | SADY Edward (Ed) L. | D D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 40 | FISHER Edward | D D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 41 | STENSON Alyssa | D D V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 42 | BANSAL Aarush | D D V D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 43 | WESTGATE Rebecca | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 44 | DIEP Kevin | D D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| 45 | PHILIPPON Grace | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 46 | SIDOTI Olivia | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 47 | KOEHLER Claire | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.