George Mason University Patriot Open 2024

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 1:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU William - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
2 PECK Quinn - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
3 HINDS David E. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
3 SELSER Ella - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
5 HAYES Nathan P. - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
6 METZ Mason - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
7 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
8 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
9 SIN Steve - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
10 WU Geoffrey - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
11 MITCHELL Christopher - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
12 HIGGINS Jackie - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 8%
13 STANSBURY Desmond 12% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
14 NOSIK Gabriel - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
15 TOMASI Samantha 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
16 STADTHER Christopher J. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
17 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 5%
18 BURKE Daniel J. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
19 CHENH Justin - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 7%
20 CANDELARIA Armando 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
21 HOPSON Ethan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
22 DONOHUE Peter 3% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
23 RYAN Sean 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
24 PISTONE Leah - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
25 ELPURNOMO Aldrin - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
26 JARVIS Owen - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
27 CROWE Nathan - 5% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
28 WU Lorena 12% 35% 34% 16% 4% - -
29 CHAO Pierre 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
30 NSUBUGA Jeffrey - 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
31 IVATURI Sivakrishna - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
32 MEYERHOLZ Alec - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 1%
33 CROWE Talia 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
34 CHANDLEE Thomas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
35 SIN William 11% 41% 35% 12% 2% -
36 STRUMLAUF Jacob 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
37 STEFFENSEN Lily 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
38 POOLE Katherine 26% 44% 24% 5% - - -
39 SADY Edward (Ed) L. 1% 13% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
40 FISHER Edward 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
41 STENSON Alyssa 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
42 BANSAL Aarush 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
43 WESTGATE Rebecca 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
44 DIEP Kevin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
45 PHILIPPON Grace 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
46 SIDOTI Olivia 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
47 KOEHLER Claire 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.