The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Evelyn - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 8%
2 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
3 YUEN Nicole - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
3 GAY Sasha - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
5 YU Stella - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
6 KU Alathea-Joy - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
7 HWANG Charlotte - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
8 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
9 LIN Elaine - - - - 6% 34% 59%
10 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
11 CONG Anne - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
12 LIU kai yin aria - - 3% 20% 48% 29%
13 LONG Jessie - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
14 NGUYEN Summer - - 2% 14% 38% 38% 8%
15 HSIEH Lucia 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
16 SENGUPTA Jia - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
17 SUNG Olivia - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
18 TONG Laurie - - 2% 18% 47% 33%
19 KWON Hannah - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
19 YAN Angela - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
21 PARK Chloe 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
22 ZHU Elaine - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
23 HWANG Sophie - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 2%
24 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4% -
25 WONG Natalie - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
26 LONG Chloe - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
27 KIM Saeren 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
28 CHANG Annette 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
29 LAUREYNS Ainsley 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
30 YU Skylar - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
31 MISHEV Lila - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
32 CHANG Kaitlyn 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
33 HU Ashley 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
34 GALLAGHER Isabella 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
35 GROSSMAN Elizabeth 3% 23% 42% 26% 6% -
36 GONG suri 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
37 WANG April 4% 32% 40% 20% 4% -
38 FAN Tina - 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
39 CHEN Cindy 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
40 JOHNSTON Sabrina 10% 45% 35% 10% 1% -
41 WANG Makayla 1% 9% 34% 40% 14% 2%
42 TABANCAY Ava 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
43 HALPERN Athena 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
44 VENNE Sophie 1% 14% 42% 34% 9% 1%
45 WAN Sophia 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
46 MORINAGA Mirai 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
47 DUFF Caitlin 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
48 CAO Kim 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
49 CAI Joanna 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
49 CHENG Anna 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
51 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
52 CHANG Kylie 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
53 OLESKY Ellie 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
53 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
55 CONG Catherine 1% 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
56 DUDNICK Caitlin 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
57 SHI Maxine 8% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
58 SUNG Isabella - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
59 LI Bernadette 70% 26% 4% - - -
60 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 24% 47% 24% 5% - - -
61 FAN Yutong 15% 45% 31% 8% 1% - -
62 CORD Sophia 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
63 BRIMMER Bella 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
64 ZOFFEL Gabriela 9% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
65 ARVIND Heera 47% 40% 12% 1% - -
66 LIU Isabel 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
66 LIQUARD Lea 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
68 BAEK Aileen 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
69 MELNIKOV Maya 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
70 SEELMAN Alexa 66% 30% 4% - - -
71 DENG Oscar 33% 44% 19% 4% - - -
72 YU Sydney 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
72 WU Aurora 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.